Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 193-204 of 337 posts

Youth Power: 51% of Registered Voters Were Under 35 in 2017
Youth Power: 51% of Registered Voters Were Under 35 in 2017

By 2017, youth voters (under 35) made up 51% of Kenya's registered voters — up from 46% in 2013. That is over 10 million...

Feb 28, 2025 3 min 1,353
HOMA BAY 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
HOMA BAY 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for HOMA BAY: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...

Feb 25, 2025 2 min 1,172
Constituency Tallying in Kenya: How Results Move from Stations to Declaration
Constituency Tallying in Kenya: How Results Move from Stations to Declaration

At the constituency tallying center, the Returning Officer receives forms from every polling station, verifies seals and...

Feb 22, 2025 6 min 7,936
Governors by the Numbers: Jubilee's 25-County Sweep in 2017
Governors by the Numbers: Jubilee's 25-County Sweep in 2017

In the 2017 general election, Jubilee Party dominated the governor's race with 25 out of 47 seats. ODM took 13, while tw...

Feb 22, 2025 4 min 2,284
From 210 MPs to 8 Provinces: How the Old Electoral System Worked
From 210 MPs to 8 Provinces: How the Old Electoral System Worked

Kenya's pre-2010 constitution electoral system was radically different from what exists today. The country was divided i...

Feb 20, 2025 7 min 5,658
GARISSA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
GARISSA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for GARISSA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Feb 19, 2025 2 min 8,730
The Gender Gap: How Female Voter Registration Dropped from 49% to 46.6%
The Gender Gap: How Female Voter Registration Dropped from 49% to 46.6%

Female voter registration in Kenya dropped from 49% in 2013 to 46.6% in 2017. Despite adding nearly 2 million women to t...

Feb 15, 2025 5 min 5,252
EMBU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
EMBU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for EMBU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can pl...

Feb 13, 2025 2 min 7,783
Packaging and Delivery of Election Materials After Counting in Kenya
Packaging and Delivery of Election Materials After Counting in Kenya

Once counting ends at a Kenyan polling station, materials must be packaged in tamper-proof envelopes and delivered to th...

Feb 08, 2025 7 min 8,378
ELGEYO / MARAKWET 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
ELGEYO / MARAKWET 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for ELGEYO / MARAKWET: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign...

Feb 07, 2025 2 min 10,727
2022's Historic Low Turnout: Only 64.77% of Registered Voters Showed Up
2022's Historic Low Turnout: Only 64.77% of Registered Voters Showed Up

Kenya's 2022 general election recorded a turnout of just 64.77% — a dramatic 13-point plunge from 78% in 2017. Out of 22...

Feb 07, 2025 5 min 2,209
DIASPORA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
DIASPORA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for DIASPORA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...

Feb 01, 2025 2 min 6,416