Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Filtering by: azimio ×

Showing 1-12 of 12 posts

Kajiado 2027 Readiness Brief 10: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Kajiado 2027 Readiness Brief 10: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Kajiado using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Mar 10, 2026 2 min 9,855
Homa Bay 2027 Readiness Brief 8: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Homa Bay 2027 Readiness Brief 8: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Homa Bay using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...

Mar 08, 2026 2 min 10,406
Garissa 2027 Readiness Brief 7: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Garissa 2027 Readiness Brief 7: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Garissa using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Mar 07, 2026 2 min 11,926
Busia 2027 Readiness Brief 4: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Busia 2027 Readiness Brief 4: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Busia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Mar 04, 2026 2 min 1,114
2022 Election: The Complete County-by-County Results Map
2022 Election: The Complete County-by-County Results Map

The definitive county-by-county breakdown of Kenya's 2022 presidential election. William Ruto won 7,176,141 votes (50.49...

Jan 07, 2026 5 min 11,848
2022: Ruto vs Odinga — The Closest Presidential Race Since 2013
2022: Ruto vs Odinga — The Closest Presidential Race Since 2013

William Ruto won the 2022 presidential election with 7,176,141 votes (50.49%) against Raila Odinga’s 6,942,930 votes (48...

Nov 22, 2024 5 min 6,808
How Coalitions Affected Downballot Races in 2022
How Coalitions Affected Downballot Races in 2022

Analysis of how coalition branding affected all six elected positions in 2022. Kenya Kwanza and Azimio la Umoja dominate...

Apr 12, 2023 5 min 8,078
Senate 2022: How the County Delegations Shifted Power
Senate 2022: How the County Delegations Shifted Power

The 2022 Senate elections gave Kenya Kwanza a narrow majority with 24 elected senators vs Azimio's 23. But the Senate's...

Nov 04, 2022 5 min 6,257
Azimio's Stronghold Paradox: Winning Counties but Losing the Election
Azimio's Stronghold Paradox: Winning Counties but Losing the Election

Raila Odinga's Azimio coalition won 22 of 47 counties in the presidential race. Kenya Kwanza won 25. But the real story...

Oct 25, 2022 3 min 8,378
The Kenyatta Succession: How Uhuru's Endorsement of Raila Backfired
The Kenyatta Succession: How Uhuru's Endorsement of Raila Backfired

No sitting Kenyan president has ever successfully handed power to a chosen successor outside their deputy. Uhuru tried w...

Oct 14, 2022 5 min 10,558
Martha Karua Effect: Did She Move Votes in Central Kenya?
Martha Karua Effect: Did She Move Votes in Central Kenya?

When Raila Odinga picked Martha Karua as his running mate, it was hailed as a masterstroke. A respected Kikuyu woman fro...

Sep 20, 2022 4 min 1,550
How Raila Lost Mt. Kenya: The Azimio Coalition's Fatal Miscalculation
How Raila Lost Mt. Kenya: The Azimio Coalition's Fatal Miscalculation

The Azimio la Umoja coalition's entire strategy hinged on Mt. Kenya. With Uhuru's endorsement and Martha Karua as runnin...

Sep 12, 2022 4 min 8,487