Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 97-108 of 412 posts

KAKAMEGA: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Lowest Turnout Counties)
KAKAMEGA: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Lowest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for KAKAMEGA: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents...

Apr 10, 2026 2 min 6,445
Tana River 2027 Readiness Brief 40: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Tana River 2027 Readiness Brief 40: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Tana River using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, r...

Apr 09, 2026 2 min 6,923
Taita Taveta 2027 Readiness Brief 39: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Taita Taveta 2027 Readiness Brief 39: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Taita Taveta using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...

Apr 08, 2026 2 min 2,617
Siaya 2027 Readiness Brief 38: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Siaya 2027 Readiness Brief 38: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Siaya using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Apr 07, 2026 2 min 3,482
TANA RIVER Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk
TANA RIVER Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk

County-level connectivity risk brief for TANA RIVER: where transmission can fail and how campaign teams should prepare.

Apr 07, 2026 2 min 3,685
2022 County Spotlight: Meru — The Eastern Powerhouse That Backed Ruto
2022 County Spotlight: Meru — The Eastern Powerhouse That Backed Ruto

With 772,573 registered voters, Meru County is the 4th-largest electorate in Kenya and the biggest in Eastern Province....

Apr 07, 2026 4 min 2,336
Samburu 2027 Readiness Brief 37: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Samburu 2027 Readiness Brief 37: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Samburu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Apr 06, 2026 2 min 721
Nyeri 2027 Readiness Brief 36: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Nyeri 2027 Readiness Brief 36: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Nyeri using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Apr 05, 2026 2 min 6,675
MACHAKOS: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Lowest Turnout Counties)
MACHAKOS: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Lowest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for MACHAKOS: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents...

Apr 05, 2026 2 min 9,424
Nyandarua 2027 Readiness Brief 35: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Nyandarua 2027 Readiness Brief 35: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Nyandarua using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, re...

Apr 04, 2026 2 min 6,811
Nyamira 2027 Readiness Brief 34: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Nyamira 2027 Readiness Brief 34: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Nyamira using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Apr 03, 2026 2 min 9,692
Narok 2027 Readiness Brief 33: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Narok 2027 Readiness Brief 33: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Narok using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Apr 02, 2026 2 min 11,417