Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 49-60 of 412 posts

Mandera Coalition Memo 21: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Mandera Coalition Memo 21: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Mandera using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

May 10, 2026 2 min 481
NAKURU: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Fastest Registration Growth)
NAKURU: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Fastest Registration Growth)

Data-backed campaign playbook for NAKURU: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents an...

May 10, 2026 2 min 251
Makueni Coalition Memo 20: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Makueni Coalition Memo 20: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Makueni using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

May 09, 2026 2 min 4,253
When Turnout Meets Trust Deficit: The 2007 Election Story
When Turnout Meets Trust Deficit: The 2007 Election Story

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

May 09, 2026 2 min 4,098
Machakos Coalition Memo 19: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Machakos Coalition Memo 19: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Machakos using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...

May 08, 2026 2 min 282
Lamu Coalition Memo 18: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Lamu Coalition Memo 18: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Lamu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, registr...

May 07, 2026 2 min 7,005
2022 County Spotlight: Uasin Gishu — Ruto’s Capital at 77.99%
2022 County Spotlight: Uasin Gishu — Ruto’s Capital at 77.99%

Uasin Gishu County, home to Eldoret city and William Ruto’s political base, gave him 272,868 votes (77.99%) in 2022. But...

May 07, 2026 5 min 3,289
Meru Rejected Ballot Watch: Where Ballot Quality Could Decide 2027
Meru Rejected Ballot Watch: Where Ballot Quality Could Decide 2027

A county ballot-quality brief for Meru: rejection rate, turnout context, and practical fixes for campaigns ahead of 2027...

May 07, 2026 2 min 5,750
Laikipia Coalition Memo 17: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Laikipia Coalition Memo 17: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Laikipia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...

May 06, 2026 2 min 238
Kwale Coalition Memo 16: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Kwale Coalition Memo 16: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Kwale using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

May 05, 2026 2 min 10,935
KIAMBU: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Fastest Registration Growth)
KIAMBU: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Fastest Registration Growth)

Data-backed campaign playbook for KIAMBU: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents an...

May 05, 2026 2 min 3,515
Kitui Coalition Memo 15: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Kitui Coalition Memo 15: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Kitui using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

May 04, 2026 2 min 429