Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 49-60 of 287 posts

ANC, FORD-Kenya, and Wiper: Western and Eastern Kenya's Opposition in Numbers
ANC, FORD-Kenya, and Wiper: Western and Eastern Kenya's Opposition in Numbers

Within the NASA coalition, three parties carved out regional kingdoms. Wiper held the most seats overall with 108 across...

Sep 07, 2025 6 min 11,441
TANA RIVER 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TANA RIVER 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TANA RIVER: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Sep 05, 2025 2 min 5,203
GARISSA Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk
GARISSA Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk

County-level connectivity risk brief for GARISSA: where transmission can fail and how campaign teams should prepare.

Sep 04, 2025 2 min 11,057
Five Years On: Remembering August 8, 2017 by the Numbers
Five Years On: Remembering August 8, 2017 by the Numbers

19.6 million registered voters. 8 presidential candidates. 10,667 KIEMS kits. One Supreme Court annulment. August 8, 201...

Aug 31, 2025 4 min 5,072
TAITA TAVETA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TAITA TAVETA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TAITA TAVETA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign team...

Aug 30, 2025 2 min 1,991
BARINGO Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk
BARINGO Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk

County-level connectivity risk brief for BARINGO: where transmission can fail and how campaign teams should prepare.

Aug 28, 2025 2 min 7,893
SIAYA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
SIAYA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for SIAYA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Aug 24, 2025 2 min 10,547
The KANU Factor: From 39 Years of Power to 8 Seats
The KANU Factor: From 39 Years of Power to 8 Seats

The Kenya African National Union (KANU) was the ruling party from 1963 to 2002 -- 39 years of unbroken power. By 2017, t...

Aug 23, 2025 5 min 1,553
SAMBURU Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk
SAMBURU Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk

County-level connectivity risk brief for SAMBURU: where transmission can fail and how campaign teams should prepare.

Aug 21, 2025 2 min 8,732
Why Provincial Bloc Voting Made 2007 So Volatile
Why Provincial Bloc Voting Made 2007 So Volatile

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Aug 20, 2025 2 min 11,831
SAMBURU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
SAMBURU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for SAMBURU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Aug 18, 2025 2 min 5,193
2022 County Spotlight: Nakuru — The Rift Valley Battleground
2022 County Spotlight: Nakuru — The Rift Valley Battleground

Nakuru County had 1,055,515 registered voters in 2022, making it the third-largest electorate after Nairobi and Kiambu....

Aug 15, 2025 5 min 8,509