Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Filtering by: presidential ×

Showing 1-12 of 35 posts

The Wajackoyah Factor: Did the Third Candidate Affect the 2022 Result?
The Wajackoyah Factor: Did the Third Candidate Affect the 2022 Result?

Professor George Wajackoyah's Roots Party captured 61,969 votes (0.44%) in the 2022 presidential election. With a Ruto-O...

Jan 31, 2026 6 min 5,747
2022 Election: The Complete County-by-County Results Map
2022 Election: The Complete County-by-County Results Map

The definitive county-by-county breakdown of Kenya's 2022 presidential election. William Ruto won 7,176,141 votes (50.49...

Jan 07, 2026 5 min 11,848
2022 County Spotlight: Machakos and Makueni — Kamba Country's Vote
2022 County Spotlight: Machakos and Makueni — Kamba Country's Vote

Machakos and Makueni counties delivered a decisive Kamba bloc vote for the late Raila Odinga in 2022. Machakos gave him...

Sep 23, 2025 5 min 1,980
Five Years On: Remembering August 8, 2017 by the Numbers
Five Years On: Remembering August 8, 2017 by the Numbers

19.6 million registered voters. 8 presidential candidates. 10,667 KIEMS kits. One Supreme Court annulment. August 8, 201...

Aug 31, 2025 4 min 5,072
2022 County Spotlight: Siaya — 98.60% for the late Raila, the Ultimate Stronghold
2022 County Spotlight: Siaya — 98.60% for the late Raila, the Ultimate Stronghold

Siaya County gave the late Raila Odinga 371,092 votes out of 376,354 valid votes — a staggering 98.60%. William Ruto rec...

Jul 15, 2025 5 min 1,452
2022's Closest Races: Where a Few Hundred Votes Changed Everything
2022's Closest Races: Where a Few Hundred Votes Changed Everything

Kenya's 2022 election produced some of the tightest margins in the country's multiparty history. At the presidential lev...

Jun 07, 2025 6 min 8,735
The 231,728-Vote Margin: Why 2007 Was Contestable From Day One
The 231,728-Vote Margin: Why 2007 Was Contestable From Day One

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jun 01, 2025 2 min 3,425
Presidential Strongholds: Where 90%+ of Voters Chose One Candidate
Presidential Strongholds: Where 90%+ of Voters Chose One Candidate

Kenyan presidential elections are decided in a handful of swing counties. But the story starts in the strongholds, where...

Mar 14, 2025 5 min 4,469
County and National Tallying: The Final Steps to Declaring Kenya's Election Results
County and National Tallying: The Final Steps to Declaring Kenya's Election Results

After constituency tallying, results flow upward to county and national levels. At the county level, Governor, Senator,...

Mar 08, 2025 6 min 4,461
The 2017 Supreme Court Annulment: What the Numbers Say
The 2017 Supreme Court Annulment: What the Numbers Say

On 1st September 2017, Kenya's Supreme Court annulled the presidential election — the first such ruling in African histo...

Dec 22, 2024 4 min 242
The Two Battleground Counties: Narok and Kajiado Were Decided by Less Than 3%
The Two Battleground Counties: Narok and Kajiado Were Decided by Less Than 3%

In the 2022 presidential election, Narok and Kajiado were the two largest counties decided by less than 4 percentage poi...

Nov 30, 2024 5 min 5,609
2022: Ruto vs Odinga — The Closest Presidential Race Since 2013
2022: Ruto vs Odinga — The Closest Presidential Race Since 2013

William Ruto won the 2022 presidential election with 7,176,141 votes (50.49%) against Raila Odinga’s 6,942,930 votes (48...

Nov 22, 2024 5 min 6,808