Showing 1-12 of 39 posts
Uhuru's Jubilee Revival and the Mt. Kenya Vote: Who Controls the Bloc in 2027?
Mt. Kenya — Kenya's largest voting bloc with 5.2 million registered voters — has no clear political home for the first t...
The 2027 Opposition Arithmetic: Can Gachagua, Kalonzo, and Matiang'i Unite Against Ruto?
Kenya's opposition has a maths problem. Rigathi Gachagua (DCP), Kalonzo Musyoka (Wiper), and Fred Matiang'i (Jubilee) ha...
The Post-Raila Political Vacuum: How ODM's Crisis Reshapes the 2027 Electoral Map
Raila Odinga's death on October 15, 2025 shattered the gravitational centre of Kenyan opposition politics. Nine months l...
2013 County Spotlight: The Five Counties That Decided Kenyatta's 50.07%
Uhuru Kenyatta's 2013 victory rested on five critical counties: Kiambu, Nakuru, Murang'a, Meru, and Nyeri. Together they...
The Wajackoyah Factor: Did the Third Candidate Affect the 2022 Result?
Professor George Wajackoyah's Roots Party captured 61,969 votes (0.44%) in the 2022 presidential election. With a Ruto-O...
2022 Election: The Complete County-by-County Results Map
The definitive county-by-county breakdown of Kenya's 2022 presidential election. William Ruto won 7,176,141 votes (50.49...
2022 County Spotlight: Machakos and Makueni — Kamba Country's Vote
Machakos and Makueni counties delivered a decisive Kamba bloc vote for the late Raila Odinga in 2022. Machakos gave him...
Five Years On: Remembering August 8, 2017 by the Numbers
19.6 million registered voters. 8 presidential candidates. 10,667 KIEMS kits. One Supreme Court annulment. August 8, 201...
2022 County Spotlight: Siaya — 98.60% for the late Raila, the Ultimate Stronghold
Siaya County gave the late Raila Odinga 371,092 votes out of 376,354 valid votes — a staggering 98.60%. William Ruto rec...
2022's Closest Races: Where a Few Hundred Votes Changed Everything
Kenya's 2022 election produced some of the tightest margins in the country's multiparty history. At the presidential lev...
The 231,728-Vote Margin: Why 2007 Was Contestable From Day One
A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...
Presidential Strongholds: Where 90%+ of Voters Chose One Candidate
Kenyan presidential elections are decided in a handful of swing counties. But the story starts in the strongholds, where...