Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 1-12 of 150 posts

Homa Bay Coalition Memo 5: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Homa Bay Coalition Memo 5: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Homa Bay using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...

Apr 24, 2026 2 min 4,019
Garissa Coalition Memo 4: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Garissa Coalition Memo 4: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Garissa using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Apr 23, 2026 2 min 3,605
Embu Coalition Memo 3: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Embu Coalition Memo 3: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Embu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, registr...

Apr 22, 2026 2 min 8,497
Elgeyo/Marakwet Coalition Memo 2: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Elgeyo/Marakwet Coalition Memo 2: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Elgeyo/Marakwet using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressu...

Apr 21, 2026 2 min 331
Busia Coalition Memo 1: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Busia Coalition Memo 1: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Busia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Apr 20, 2026 2 min 827
MAKUENI: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Lowest Turnout Counties)
MAKUENI: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Lowest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for MAKUENI: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents a...

Apr 20, 2026 2 min 9,790
Bungoma 2027 Readiness Brief 50: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Bungoma 2027 Readiness Brief 50: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Bungoma using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Apr 19, 2026 2 min 3,919
Kiambu Rejected Ballot Watch: Where Ballot Quality Could Decide 2027
Kiambu Rejected Ballot Watch: Where Ballot Quality Could Decide 2027

A county ballot-quality brief for Kiambu: rejection rate, turnout context, and practical fixes for campaigns ahead of 20...

Apr 19, 2026 2 min 11,803
Bomet 2027 Readiness Brief 49: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Bomet 2027 Readiness Brief 49: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Bomet using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Apr 18, 2026 2 min 2,967
Baringo 2027 Readiness Brief 48: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Baringo 2027 Readiness Brief 48: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Baringo using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Apr 17, 2026 2 min 9,641
West Pokot 2027 Readiness Brief 47: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
West Pokot 2027 Readiness Brief 47: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for West Pokot using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, r...

Apr 16, 2026 2 min 4,131
Wajir 2027 Readiness Brief 46: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Wajir 2027 Readiness Brief 46: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Wajir using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Apr 15, 2026 2 min 3,520