Showing 1-12 of 69 posts
SIAYA Stronghold Outlook: Turnout Pressure and Coalition Math for 2027
Stronghold forecast for SIAYA: three-election turnout trend, 2022 vote split, and practical coalition implications for 2...
HOMA BAY Stronghold Outlook: Turnout Pressure and Coalition Math for 2027
Stronghold forecast for HOMA BAY: three-election turnout trend, 2022 vote split, and practical coalition implications fo...
THARAKA-NITHI Stronghold Outlook: Turnout Pressure and Coalition Math for 2027
Stronghold forecast for THARAKA-NITHI: three-election turnout trend, 2022 vote split, and practical coalition implicatio...
NANDI Stronghold Outlook: Turnout Pressure and Coalition Math for 2027
Stronghold forecast for NANDI: three-election turnout trend, 2022 vote split, and practical coalition implications for 2...
BOMET Stronghold Outlook: Turnout Pressure and Coalition Math for 2027
Stronghold forecast for BOMET: three-election turnout trend, 2022 vote split, and practical coalition implications for 2...
KERICHO Stronghold Outlook: Turnout Pressure and Coalition Math for 2027
Stronghold forecast for KERICHO: three-election turnout trend, 2022 vote split, and practical coalition implications for...
2022 County Spotlight: Busia — Where Odinga Got 81.68%
Busia County gave Raila Odinga 81.68% (226,042 votes) while neighbour Bungoma gave Ruto 63.16%. With 416,818 registered...
ELGEYO/MARAKWET Stronghold Outlook: Turnout Pressure and Coalition Math for 2027
Stronghold forecast for ELGEYO/MARAKWET: three-election turnout trend, 2022 vote split, and practical coalition implicat...
Ol Kalou By-Election: DCP's Sammy Waweru Crushes UDA With 81% Landslide
DCP's Sammy Waweru wins Ol Kalou by-election with 81% of the vote, handing UDA a crushing defeat in the Mt. Kenya heartl...
2022 County Spotlight: Nandi and Baringo — Deep Rift Valley
Nandi (91.30% Ruto, 3rd highest nationally) and Baringo (80.69% Ruto) represent the deep Rift Valley vote. But the 11-po...
Presidential Vote Distribution: Mapping Strongholds from 2013 to 2022
Across three presidential elections (2013, 2017, 2022), some Kenyan counties have been unbreakable strongholds while oth...
2022 County Spotlight: Kericho and Bomet — The Kalenjin Heartland
Kericho (95.32% Ruto) and Bomet (95.27% Ruto) are the two most one-sided Ruto counties in Kenya. Together they delivered...