Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 37-48 of 337 posts

VIHIGA: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Lowest Turnout Counties)
VIHIGA: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Lowest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for VIHIGA: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents an...

Mar 31, 2026 2 min 4,678
The Cost of Petitions: 446 Court Cases and What They Achieved
The Cost of Petitions: 446 Court Cases and What They Achieved

Kenya's election petition numbers tell a paradoxical story. Petitions filed grew from 36 (2007) to 188 (2013) to 446 (20...

Mar 31, 2026 4 min 1,173
Nairobi City 2027 Readiness Brief 30: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Nairobi City 2027 Readiness Brief 30: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Nairobi City using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...

Mar 30, 2026 2 min 9,901
Murang'A 2027 Readiness Brief 29: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Murang'A 2027 Readiness Brief 29: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Murang'A using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...

Mar 29, 2026 2 min 771
Mombasa 2027 Readiness Brief 28: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Mombasa 2027 Readiness Brief 28: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Mombasa using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Mar 28, 2026 2 min 6,179
Migori 2027 Readiness Brief 27: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Migori 2027 Readiness Brief 27: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Migori using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...

Mar 27, 2026 2 min 3,746
Meru 2027 Readiness Brief 26: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Meru 2027 Readiness Brief 26: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Meru using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, registr...

Mar 26, 2026 2 min 1,343
DIASPORA: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Lowest Turnout Counties)
DIASPORA: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Lowest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for DIASPORA: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents...

Mar 26, 2026 2 min 4,317
Marsabit 2027 Readiness Brief 25: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Marsabit 2027 Readiness Brief 25: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Marsabit using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...

Mar 25, 2026 2 min 1,822
Mandera 2027 Readiness Brief 24: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Mandera 2027 Readiness Brief 24: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Mandera using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Mar 24, 2026 2 min 6,486
Makueni 2027 Readiness Brief 23: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Makueni 2027 Readiness Brief 23: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Makueni using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Mar 23, 2026 2 min 11,776
Presidential Vote Distribution: Mapping Strongholds from 2013 to 2022
Presidential Vote Distribution: Mapping Strongholds from 2013 to 2022

Across three presidential elections (2013, 2017, 2022), some Kenyan counties have been unbreakable strongholds while oth...

Mar 23, 2026 4 min 1,225