Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 37-48 of 412 posts

Nandi Coalition Memo 29: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Nandi Coalition Memo 29: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Nandi using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

May 18, 2026 2 min 5,525
Nakuru Coalition Memo 28: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Nakuru Coalition Memo 28: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Nakuru using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...

May 17, 2026 2 min 4,479
2007 to 2010 Reform Timeline: The Critical Turning Points
2007 to 2010 Reform Timeline: The Critical Turning Points

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

May 17, 2026 2 min 7,048
Nairobi City Coalition Memo 27: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Nairobi City Coalition Memo 27: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Nairobi City using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...

May 16, 2026 2 min 4,381
Murang'A Coalition Memo 26: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Murang'A Coalition Memo 26: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Murang'A using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...

May 15, 2026 2 min 1,777
MERU: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Fastest Registration Growth)
MERU: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Fastest Registration Growth)

Data-backed campaign playbook for MERU: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...

May 15, 2026 2 min 6,617
2022 County Spotlight: Kisii and Nyamira — The Gusii Region Split
2022 County Spotlight: Kisii and Nyamira — The Gusii Region Split

Kisii and Nyamira counties — the Gusii homeland — gave the late Raila Odinga 65.80% and 61.84% respectively in 2022. But...

May 15, 2026 5 min 7,210
Mombasa Coalition Memo 25: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Mombasa Coalition Memo 25: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Mombasa using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

May 14, 2026 2 min 3,392
Migori Coalition Memo 24: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Migori Coalition Memo 24: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Migori using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...

May 13, 2026 2 min 3,498
Machakos Rejected Ballot Watch: Where Ballot Quality Could Decide 2027
Machakos Rejected Ballot Watch: Where Ballot Quality Could Decide 2027

A county ballot-quality brief for Machakos: rejection rate, turnout context, and practical fixes for campaigns ahead of...

May 13, 2026 2 min 6,358
Meru Coalition Memo 23: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Meru Coalition Memo 23: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Meru using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, registr...

May 12, 2026 2 min 1,935
Marsabit Coalition Memo 22: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Marsabit Coalition Memo 22: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Marsabit using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...

May 11, 2026 2 min 6,398