Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 1-12 of 14 posts

Isiolo 2027 Readiness Brief 9: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Isiolo 2027 Readiness Brief 9: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Isiolo using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...

Mar 09, 2026 2 min 1,658
Embu 2027 Readiness Brief 6: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Embu 2027 Readiness Brief 6: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Embu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, registr...

Mar 06, 2026 2 min 11,688
Elgeyo/Marakwet 2027 Readiness Brief 5: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Elgeyo/Marakwet 2027 Readiness Brief 5: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Elgeyo/Marakwet using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressu...

Mar 05, 2026 2 min 10,166
Bungoma 2027 Readiness Brief 3: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Bungoma 2027 Readiness Brief 3: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Bungoma using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Mar 03, 2026 2 min 315
Bomet 2027 Readiness Brief 2: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Bomet 2027 Readiness Brief 2: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Bomet using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Mar 02, 2026 2 min 1,071
Baringo 2027 Readiness Brief 1: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Baringo 2027 Readiness Brief 1: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Baringo using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Mar 01, 2026 2 min 10,149
How Coalitions Affected Downballot Races in 2022
How Coalitions Affected Downballot Races in 2022

Analysis of how coalition branding affected all six elected positions in 2022. Kenya Kwanza and Azimio la Umoja dominate...

Apr 12, 2023 5 min 8,078
Senate 2022: How the County Delegations Shifted Power
Senate 2022: How the County Delegations Shifted Power

The 2022 Senate elections gave Kenya Kwanza a narrow majority with 24 elected senators vs Azimio's 23. But the Senate's...

Nov 04, 2022 5 min 6,257
Deputy President Race 2022: How Rigathi Gachagua Was Chosen
Deputy President Race 2022: How Rigathi Gachagua Was Chosen

Before Gachagua, there was Mathira MP speculation, Kiharu's Ndindi Nyoro, and a dozen other Mt. Kenya names. How did a r...

Nov 03, 2022 4 min 5,438
The Rift Valley Machine: How UDA Won 90%+ in 14 Counties
The Rift Valley Machine: How UDA Won 90%+ in 14 Counties

UDA swept the Rift Valley with staggering margins in 2022 — 14 counties above 90%, five above 95%. The Kalenjin heartlan...

Oct 25, 2022 4 min 10,476
Nakuru 2022: The Swing County That Swung Hard for Kenya Kwanza
Nakuru 2022: The Swing County That Swung Hard for Kenya Kwanza

Nakuru County, Kenya's third-largest electorate with over 1.1 million registered voters, was considered the ultimate swi...

Oct 18, 2022 5 min 8,258
William Ruto's Hustler Narrative: How a Campaign Slogan Became a Movement
William Ruto's Hustler Narrative: How a Campaign Slogan Became a Movement

The 'hustler vs dynasty' framing was dismissed by pundits as populist nonsense. But Ruto's bottom-up economic model reso...

Oct 05, 2022 4 min 10,602