Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 1-12 of 12 posts

Kajiado 2027 Readiness Brief 10: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Kajiado 2027 Readiness Brief 10: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Kajiado using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Mar 10, 2026 2 min 9,855
Homa Bay 2027 Readiness Brief 8: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Homa Bay 2027 Readiness Brief 8: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Homa Bay using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...

Mar 08, 2026 2 min 10,406
Garissa 2027 Readiness Brief 7: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Garissa 2027 Readiness Brief 7: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Garissa using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Mar 07, 2026 2 min 11,926
Busia 2027 Readiness Brief 4: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Busia 2027 Readiness Brief 4: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Busia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Mar 04, 2026 2 min 1,114
How 99 ODM Seats Changed Negotiation Power in 2008
How 99 ODM Seats Changed Negotiation Power in 2008

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jul 01, 2025 2 min 10,149
The Orange Wave: How ODM Won 99 Parliamentary Seats in 2007
The Orange Wave: How ODM Won 99 Parliamentary Seats in 2007

In the 2007 parliamentary elections, Raila Odinga's Orange Democratic Movement won 99 out of 210 seats — 47% of the Nati...

Mar 12, 2025 7 min 3,798
Kibaki vs Raila: The Numbers Behind Kenya's Most Disputed Election
Kibaki vs Raila: The Numbers Behind Kenya's Most Disputed Election

A province-by-province breakdown of the 2007 presidential election reveals why the results remain Kenya's most disputed....

Jan 15, 2025 7 min 4,657
The 2007 Election That Changed Kenya Forever: A Data Retrospective
The 2007 Election That Changed Kenya Forever: A Data Retrospective

The 2007 Kenya general election remains the most consequential vote in the nation's history. Mwai Kibaki's PNU claimed 4...

Dec 07, 2024 6 min 9,698
Senator Races 2022: The Forgotten Contests That Shaped County Power
Senator Races 2022: The Forgotten Contests That Shaped County Power

Kenya's Senate races rarely make headlines, but the 2022 results gave Kenya Kwanza a Senate majority that has shaped eve...

Feb 06, 2023 3 min 7,009
Bungoma and Kakamega: The Western Kenya Tug-of-War Between ANC and ODM
Bungoma and Kakamega: The Western Kenya Tug-of-War Between ANC and ODM

Bungoma and Kakamega — Western Kenya's two largest counties — split dramatically in 2022. Kakamega went 58% for Odinga w...

Oct 27, 2022 5 min 4,781
Kisumu's 98% Loyalty: Inside Kenya's Most Predictable Stronghold
Kisumu's 98% Loyalty: Inside Kenya's Most Predictable Stronghold

Kisumu gave Raila Odinga 97.5% of the presidential vote in 2022 — almost identical to 2017 and 2013. What drives this ex...

Oct 18, 2022 3 min 2,259
Mombasa 2022: How Abdulswamad Nassir Reclaimed the Coast for ODM
Mombasa 2022: How Abdulswamad Nassir Reclaimed the Coast for ODM

After years of Joho's tenure and growing disillusionment, Mombasa's 2022 governor race saw Abdulswamad Nassir reclaim th...

Sep 14, 2022 4 min 11,425