Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 13-24 of 412 posts

Cabinet Casualties in 2007: A Voter Backlash Pattern
Cabinet Casualties in 2007: A Voter Backlash Pattern

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jun 02, 2026 2 min 3,233
Wajir Coalition Memo 43: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Wajir Coalition Memo 43: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Wajir using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Jun 01, 2026 2 min 2,647
Vihiga Coalition Memo 42: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Vihiga Coalition Memo 42: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Vihiga using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...

May 31, 2026 2 min 10,509
Youth registration pipeline: Data Signals Campaign Teams Should Not Ignore Before 2027
Youth registration pipeline: Data Signals Campaign Teams Should Not Ignore Before 2027

A deeper demographic and operations brief on youth registration pipeline with practical steps for 2027 election teams.

May 31, 2026 2 min 2,263
Maendeleo Chap Chap and Other Small Parties: Where They Won in 2017
Maendeleo Chap Chap and Other Small Parties: Where They Won in 2017

Beyond Jubilee and ODM, Kenya's 2017 election saw remarkable results from small parties. Maendeleo Chap Chap won a gover...

May 31, 2026 5 min 8,604
Uasin Gishu Coalition Memo 41: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Uasin Gishu Coalition Memo 41: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Uasin Gishu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...

May 30, 2026 2 min 4,627
MACHAKOS: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Fastest Registration Growth)
MACHAKOS: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Fastest Registration Growth)

Data-backed campaign playbook for MACHAKOS: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents...

May 30, 2026 2 min 1,677
Turkana Coalition Memo 40: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Turkana Coalition Memo 40: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Turkana using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

May 29, 2026 2 min 11,758
Trans Nzoia Coalition Memo 39: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Trans Nzoia Coalition Memo 39: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Trans Nzoia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...

May 28, 2026 2 min 2,214
Tharaka-Nithi Coalition Memo 38: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Tharaka-Nithi Coalition Memo 38: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Tharaka-Nithi using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure...

May 27, 2026 2 min 11,246
Tana River Coalition Memo 37: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Tana River Coalition Memo 37: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Tana River using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, r...

May 26, 2026 2 min 2,138
Taita Taveta Coalition Memo 36: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Taita Taveta Coalition Memo 36: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Taita Taveta using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...

May 25, 2026 2 min 890