Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 25-36 of 287 posts

HOMA BAY: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Highest Turnout Counties)
HOMA BAY: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for HOMA BAY: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents...

Dec 10, 2025 2 min 9,051
MIGORI: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)
MIGORI: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for MIGORI: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents an...

Dec 04, 2025 2 min 6,966
NANDI: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Highest Turnout Counties)
NANDI: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for NANDI: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...

Nov 28, 2025 2 min 7,652
BARINGO: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Highest Turnout Counties)
BARINGO: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for BARINGO: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents a...

Nov 22, 2025 2 min 1,656
NAROK: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Highest Turnout Counties)
NAROK: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for NAROK: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...

Nov 16, 2025 2 min 8,556
ELGEYO / MARAKWET: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)
ELGEYO / MARAKWET: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for ELGEYO / MARAKWET: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to pla...

Nov 10, 2025 2 min 11,188
KERICHO: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Highest Turnout Counties)
KERICHO: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for KERICHO: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents a...

Nov 04, 2025 2 min 4,431
2025 Year in Review: 12 Data Insights That Defined Our Understanding of Kenyan Elections
2025 Year in Review: 12 Data Insights That Defined Our Understanding of Kenyan Elections

Over the past year, we have published over 40 data-driven articles covering every aspect of Kenya's elections from 2007...

Oct 31, 2025 5 min 3,357
WEST POKOT: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Highest Turnout Counties)
WEST POKOT: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for WEST POKOT: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agent...

Oct 29, 2025 2 min 10,934
BOMET: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Highest Turnout Counties)
BOMET: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for BOMET: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...

Oct 23, 2025 2 min 2,551
The Closest MP Race in 2013: Won by Just 24 Votes in Tarbaj
The Closest MP Race in 2013: Won by Just 24 Votes in Tarbaj

The 2013 general election produced some of Kenya's tightest parliamentary races in history. In Tarbaj constituency (Waji...

Oct 23, 2025 4 min 636
WEST POKOT 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
WEST POKOT 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for WEST POKOT: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Oct 17, 2025 2 min 1,826