Showing 1-12 of 229 posts
2022 County Spotlight: Vihiga — The Smallest Western County’s Big Vote
Vihiga County is Western Kenya’s smallest electorate (310,063 registered voters) but produced one of the region’s most i...
SIAYA Stronghold Outlook: Turnout Pressure and Coalition Math for 2027
Stronghold forecast for SIAYA: three-election turnout trend, 2022 vote split, and practical coalition implications for 2...
HOMA BAY Stronghold Outlook: Turnout Pressure and Coalition Math for 2027
Stronghold forecast for HOMA BAY: three-election turnout trend, 2022 vote split, and practical coalition implications fo...
THARAKA-NITHI Stronghold Outlook: Turnout Pressure and Coalition Math for 2027
Stronghold forecast for THARAKA-NITHI: three-election turnout trend, 2022 vote split, and practical coalition implicatio...
WEST POKOT: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for WEST POKOT: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agent...
NANDI Stronghold Outlook: Turnout Pressure and Coalition Math for 2027
Stronghold forecast for NANDI: three-election turnout trend, 2022 vote split, and practical coalition implications for 2...
WAJIR: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for WAJIR: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...
2022 County Spotlight: Taita Taveta, Kwale, and Kilifi — The Coast’s Odinga Vote
Three Coast counties — Kilifi (71.64% Odinga), Kwale (70.13%), and Taita Taveta (72.89%) — delivered strong Odinga margi...
BOMET Stronghold Outlook: Turnout Pressure and Coalition Math for 2027
Stronghold forecast for BOMET: three-election turnout trend, 2022 vote split, and practical coalition implications for 2...
TRANS NZOIA: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for TRANS NZOIA: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agen...
KERICHO Stronghold Outlook: Turnout Pressure and Coalition Math for 2027
Stronghold forecast for KERICHO: three-election turnout trend, 2022 vote split, and practical coalition implications for...
SAMBURU: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for SAMBURU: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents a...