Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 109-120 of 287 posts

MACHAKOS 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MACHAKOS 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MACHAKOS: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...

May 20, 2025 2 min 8,463
County Women Member to the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 3)
County Women Member to the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 3)

A data-backed legal risk brief for County Women Member to the National Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate,...

May 15, 2025 2 min 6,483
The BVR Kit Crisis: 27% of Election Technology Had Hardware Defects
The BVR Kit Crisis: 27% of Election Technology Had Hardware Defects

The IEBC deployed 9,976 BVR kits for the 2017 election. But 2,692 hardware defects were recorded across critical compone...

May 15, 2025 5 min 9,717
LAMU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
LAMU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for LAMU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can pl...

May 14, 2025 2 min 358
LAIKIPIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
LAIKIPIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for LAIKIPIA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...

May 08, 2025 2 min 849
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 2)
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 2)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Senator campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

May 08, 2025 2 min 5,017
Digital Democracy: 3,032 Polling Stations Had ZERO Network Coverage in 2017
Digital Democracy: 3,032 Polling Stations Had ZERO Network Coverage in 2017

Kenya's 2017 election depended on digital results transmission. But 3,032 of 40,883 polling stations had zero network co...

May 07, 2025 4 min 9,278
What IEBC Expects from Polling Agents: Training, Conduct, and Responsibilities
What IEBC Expects from Polling Agents: Training, Conduct, and Responsibilities

The IEBC expects polling agents to attend training, arrive by 5AM, remain objective, sign statutory forms, avoid campaig...

May 05, 2025 7 min 7,401
KWALE 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
KWALE 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for KWALE: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

May 02, 2025 2 min 1,189
Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 1)
Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 1)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Governor campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

May 01, 2025 2 min 10,043
The Senate Race: 47 Seats, 9 Parties, and Zero Successful Petitions
The Senate Race: 47 Seats, 9 Parties, and Zero Successful Petitions

In 2017, nine political parties shared 47 senate seats. Jubilee took 24, ODM won 13, and the rest were split among seven...

Apr 30, 2025 4 min 2,660
KITUI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
KITUI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for KITUI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Apr 26, 2025 2 min 3,403