Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 109-120 of 337 posts

SAMBURU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
SAMBURU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for SAMBURU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Aug 18, 2025 2 min 8,503
2022 County Spotlight: Nakuru — The Rift Valley Battleground
2022 County Spotlight: Nakuru — The Rift Valley Battleground

Nakuru County had 1,055,515 registered voters in 2022, making it the third-largest electorate after Nairobi and Kiambu....

Aug 15, 2025 5 min 10,431
WAJIR Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk
WAJIR Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk

County-level connectivity risk brief for WAJIR: where transmission can fail and how campaign teams should prepare.

Aug 14, 2025 2 min 3,404
NYERI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NYERI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NYERI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Aug 12, 2025 2 min 8,639
8 Provinces, 210 Seats, One Winner-Take-All Presidency
8 Provinces, 210 Seats, One Winner-Take-All Presidency

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Aug 10, 2025 2 min 6,367
MARSABIT Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk
MARSABIT Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk

County-level connectivity risk brief for MARSABIT: where transmission can fail and how campaign teams should prepare.

Aug 07, 2025 2 min 2,372
How 120,731 Election Observers Watched Kenya's 2022 Vote
How 120,731 Election Observers Watched Kenya's 2022 Vote

Kenya accredited 15,226 observer groups and deployed over 120,731 individual observers for the 2022 General Election. Ei...

Aug 07, 2025 6 min 8,324
NYANDARUA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NYANDARUA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NYANDARUA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams c...

Aug 06, 2025 2 min 4,505
NYAMIRA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NYAMIRA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NYAMIRA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jul 31, 2025 2 min 2,933
WEST POKOT Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk
WEST POKOT Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk

County-level connectivity risk brief for WEST POKOT: where transmission can fail and how campaign teams should prepare.

Jul 31, 2025 2 min 8,497
2022 County Spotlight: Kisumu and Homa Bay — Odinga’s Lakeside Fortress
2022 County Spotlight: Kisumu and Homa Bay — Odinga’s Lakeside Fortress

Kisumu (97.45% Odinga) and Homa Bay (98.93% Odinga) were the two most lopsided counties in the entire 2022 election. Wit...

Jul 31, 2025 4 min 7,667
From ECK to IEBC: Institutional Lessons from 2007
From ECK to IEBC: Institutional Lessons from 2007

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jul 31, 2025 2 min 11,471