Showing 109-120 of 613 posts
Kisii Referendum Watch 7: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Kisii using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...
Kirinyaga Referendum Watch 6: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Kirinyaga using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, re...
SAMBURU: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for SAMBURU: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents a...
Kilifi Referendum Watch 5: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Kilifi using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...
Kiambu Referendum Watch 4: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Kiambu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...
Kericho Referendum Watch 3: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Kericho using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
Why Election Petitions Keep Failing: The 7.8% Success Rate Explained
In 2007, 36 election petitions were filed and 17 succeeded, a 47% success rate. By 2013, 188 were filed but only 24 succ...
Kakamega Referendum Watch 2: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Kakamega using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...
ELGEYO/MARAKWET Stronghold Outlook: Turnout Pressure and Coalition Math for 2027
Stronghold forecast for ELGEYO/MARAKWET: three-election turnout trend, 2022 vote split, and practical coalition implicat...
Kajiado Referendum Watch 1: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Kajiado using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
NAROK: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for NAROK: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...
Isiolo Field Note 50: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Isiolo using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...