Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 85-96 of 287 posts

How 99 ODM Seats Changed Negotiation Power in 2008
How 99 ODM Seats Changed Negotiation Power in 2008

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jul 01, 2025 2 min 10,149
What Makes a Petition Succeed? Analyzing 2017's 35 Successful Challenges
What Makes a Petition Succeed? Analyzing 2017's 35 Successful Challenges

After the 2017 General Election, 446 election petitions were filed in Kenyan courts. Only 35 succeeded, a 7.8% success r...

Jun 30, 2025 5 min 5,989
Member of the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 9)
Member of the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 9)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Member of the National Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and preventio...

Jun 26, 2025 2 min 11,102
MOMBASA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MOMBASA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MOMBASA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jun 25, 2025 2 min 5,432
Registration to Representation: The Pipeline Problem for Women
Registration to Representation: The Pipeline Problem for Women

In 2017, Kenya had 9.14 million female registered voters (46.6% of the roll). By 2022, it was 10.87 million (49.1%). Yet...

Jun 23, 2025 5 min 11,608
Could a 50%+1 Rule Have Prevented the 2007 Crisis?
Could a 50%+1 Rule Have Prevented the 2007 Crisis?

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jun 21, 2025 2 min 5,892
MIGORI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MIGORI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MIGORI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jun 19, 2025 2 min 2,275
County Women Member to the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 8)
County Women Member to the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 8)

A data-backed legal risk brief for County Women Member to the National Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate,...

Jun 19, 2025 2 min 7,393
Biometric Voter Verification: How 88.6% of Voters Were Fingerprinted in 2017
Biometric Voter Verification: How 88.6% of Voters Were Fingerprinted in 2017

The 2017 election was a massive test of biometric technology. IEBC deployed 10,667 KIEMS kits to verify voters by finger...

Jun 15, 2025 5 min 6,032
MERU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MERU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MERU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can pl...

Jun 13, 2025 2 min 3,420
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 7)
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 7)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Senator campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

Jun 12, 2025 2 min 11,820
2007 by the Numbers: What We Can Prove From Surviving Datasets
2007 by the Numbers: What We Can Prove From Surviving Datasets

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jun 11, 2025 2 min 1,887