Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 85-96 of 337 posts

The Closest MP Race in 2013: Won by Just 24 Votes in Tarbaj
The Closest MP Race in 2013: Won by Just 24 Votes in Tarbaj

The 2013 general election produced some of Kenya's tightest parliamentary races in history. In Tarbaj constituency (Waji...

Oct 23, 2025 4 min 5,910
WEST POKOT 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
WEST POKOT 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for WEST POKOT: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Oct 17, 2025 2 min 8,991
2022 County Spotlight: Bungoma — Where Ruto Outperformed Expectations
2022 County Spotlight: Bungoma — Where Ruto Outperformed Expectations

Bungoma County was supposed to be Azimio territory. Western Kenya had traditionally voted with Odinga. But William Ruto...

Oct 15, 2025 5 min 4,562
WAJIR 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
WAJIR 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for WAJIR: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Oct 11, 2025 2 min 6,622
How Many Parties Does Kenya Really Need? The 41-Party Parliament
How Many Parties Does Kenya Really Need? The 41-Party Parliament

Kenya's 2017 election produced a parliament fragmented across 41 political parties. Jubilee and ODM dominated, but dozen...

Oct 07, 2025 5 min 7,369
VIHIGA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
VIHIGA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for VIHIGA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Oct 05, 2025 2 min 4,238
Prison Voters: 7,483 Kenyans Voted from Behind Bars in 2022
Prison Voters: 7,483 Kenyans Voted from Behind Bars in 2022

In the 2022 general election, 7,483 Kenyans exercised their right to vote from 118 prison facilities across the country....

Oct 01, 2025 6 min 4,864
UASIN GISHU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
UASIN GISHU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for UASIN GISHU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Sep 29, 2025 2 min 10,895
TURKANA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TURKANA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TURKANA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Sep 23, 2025 2 min 10,933
2022 County Spotlight: Machakos and Makueni — Kamba Country's Vote
2022 County Spotlight: Machakos and Makueni — Kamba Country's Vote

Machakos and Makueni counties delivered a decisive Kamba bloc vote for the late Raila Odinga in 2022. Machakos gave him...

Sep 23, 2025 5 min 4,717
TRANS NZOIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TRANS NZOIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TRANS NZOIA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Sep 17, 2025 2 min 3,344
The Agent's Guide: How Parallel Vote Tallying Works at the Polling Station
The Agent's Guide: How Parallel Vote Tallying Works at the Polling Station

Your agent has arrived at the polling station. The presiding officer has started the count. Votes are being tallied on t...

Sep 15, 2025 8 min 9,705