Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 121-132 of 337 posts

NAROK 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NAROK 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NAROK: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Jul 25, 2025 2 min 4,294
TURKANA Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk
TURKANA Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk

County-level connectivity risk brief for TURKANA: where transmission can fail and how campaign teams should prepare.

Jul 24, 2025 2 min 2,854
2022 County Spotlight: Elgeyo/Marakwet — Ruto’s Home Turf at 96.86%
2022 County Spotlight: Elgeyo/Marakwet — Ruto’s Home Turf at 96.86%

Elgeyo/Marakwet County gave William Ruto 160,033 votes (96.86%) in 2022. The late Raila Odinga managed just 4,893 votes...

Jul 23, 2025 4 min 9,649
36 Petitions in 2007: The Forgotten Baseline
36 Petitions in 2007: The Forgotten Baseline

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jul 21, 2025 2 min 1,613
NANDI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NANDI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NANDI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Jul 19, 2025 2 min 11,243
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 12)
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 12)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Senator campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

Jul 17, 2025 2 min 1,152
2022 County Spotlight: Siaya — 98.60% for the late Raila, the Ultimate Stronghold
2022 County Spotlight: Siaya — 98.60% for the late Raila, the Ultimate Stronghold

Siaya County gave the late Raila Odinga 371,092 votes out of 376,354 valid votes — a staggering 98.60%. William Ruto rec...

Jul 15, 2025 5 min 4,931
NAKURU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NAKURU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NAKURU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jul 13, 2025 2 min 3,914
The Parliamentary-Presidential Mismatch in 2007
The Parliamentary-Presidential Mismatch in 2007

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jul 11, 2025 2 min 10,353
Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 11)
Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 11)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Governor campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

Jul 10, 2025 2 min 2,919
NAIROBI CITY 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NAIROBI CITY 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NAIROBI CITY: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign team...

Jul 07, 2025 2 min 6,394
How Votrack Solves the Network Coverage Problem: Web + USSD + Telegram
How Votrack Solves the Network Coverage Problem: Web + USSD + Telegram

In 2017, 3,032 polling stations across Kenya had zero internet coverage. Another 1,470 relied on satellite connections....

Jul 07, 2025 6 min 11,787