Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 121-132 of 412 posts

Mandera 2027 Readiness Brief 24: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Mandera 2027 Readiness Brief 24: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Mandera using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Mar 24, 2026 2 min 6,554
Makueni 2027 Readiness Brief 23: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Makueni 2027 Readiness Brief 23: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Makueni using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Mar 23, 2026 2 min 11,839
Presidential Vote Distribution: Mapping Strongholds from 2013 to 2022
Presidential Vote Distribution: Mapping Strongholds from 2013 to 2022

Across three presidential elections (2013, 2017, 2022), some Kenyan counties have been unbreakable strongholds while oth...

Mar 23, 2026 4 min 1,318
Machakos 2027 Readiness Brief 22: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Machakos 2027 Readiness Brief 22: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Machakos using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...

Mar 22, 2026 2 min 7,296
NAIROBI CITY: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Lowest Turnout Counties)
NAIROBI CITY: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Lowest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for NAIROBI CITY: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan age...

Mar 21, 2026 2 min 9,664
Lamu 2027 Readiness Brief 21: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Lamu 2027 Readiness Brief 21: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Lamu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, registr...

Mar 21, 2026 2 min 1,457
Laikipia 2027 Readiness Brief 20: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Laikipia 2027 Readiness Brief 20: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Laikipia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...

Mar 20, 2026 2 min 10,165
Kwale 2027 Readiness Brief 19: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Kwale 2027 Readiness Brief 19: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Kwale using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Mar 19, 2026 2 min 2,066
Kitui 2027 Readiness Brief 18: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Kitui 2027 Readiness Brief 18: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Kitui using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Mar 18, 2026 2 min 10,081
Kisumu 2027 Readiness Brief 17: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Kisumu 2027 Readiness Brief 17: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Kisumu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...

Mar 17, 2026 2 min 3,408
Kisii 2027 Readiness Brief 16: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Kisii 2027 Readiness Brief 16: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Kisii using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Mar 16, 2026 2 min 647
KWALE: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Lowest Turnout Counties)
KWALE: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Lowest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for KWALE: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...

Mar 16, 2026 2 min 8,692