Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 145-156 of 287 posts

Constituency Tallying in Kenya: How Results Move from Stations to Declaration
Constituency Tallying in Kenya: How Results Move from Stations to Declaration

At the constituency tallying center, the Returning Officer receives forms from every polling station, verifies seals and...

Feb 22, 2025 6 min 319
Governors by the Numbers: Jubilee's 25-County Sweep in 2017
Governors by the Numbers: Jubilee's 25-County Sweep in 2017

In the 2017 general election, Jubilee Party dominated the governor's race with 25 out of 47 seats. ODM took 13, while tw...

Feb 22, 2025 4 min 2,254
From 210 MPs to 8 Provinces: How the Old Electoral System Worked
From 210 MPs to 8 Provinces: How the Old Electoral System Worked

Kenya's pre-2010 constitution electoral system was radically different from what exists today. The country was divided i...

Feb 20, 2025 7 min 1,734
GARISSA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
GARISSA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for GARISSA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Feb 19, 2025 2 min 1,234
The Gender Gap: How Female Voter Registration Dropped from 49% to 46.6%
The Gender Gap: How Female Voter Registration Dropped from 49% to 46.6%

Female voter registration in Kenya dropped from 49% in 2013 to 46.6% in 2017. Despite adding nearly 2 million women to t...

Feb 15, 2025 5 min 173
EMBU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
EMBU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for EMBU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can pl...

Feb 13, 2025 2 min 11,605
Packaging and Delivery of Election Materials After Counting in Kenya
Packaging and Delivery of Election Materials After Counting in Kenya

Once counting ends at a Kenyan polling station, materials must be packaged in tamper-proof envelopes and delivered to th...

Feb 08, 2025 7 min 2,434
ELGEYO / MARAKWET 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
ELGEYO / MARAKWET 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for ELGEYO / MARAKWET: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign...

Feb 07, 2025 2 min 7,468
2022's Historic Low Turnout: Only 64.77% of Registered Voters Showed Up
2022's Historic Low Turnout: Only 64.77% of Registered Voters Showed Up

Kenya's 2022 general election recorded a turnout of just 64.77% — a dramatic 13-point plunge from 78% in 2017. Out of 22...

Feb 07, 2025 5 min 4,257
DIASPORA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
DIASPORA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for DIASPORA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...

Feb 01, 2025 2 min 9,450
Independent Candidates: 4,002 Ran in 2017, Only 125 Won
Independent Candidates: 4,002 Ran in 2017, Only 125 Won

In 2017, 4,002 candidates ran as independents across all six elective positions. Only 125 won — a success rate of just 3...

Jan 31, 2025 5 min 8,041
BUSIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
BUSIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for BUSIA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Jan 26, 2025 2 min 677