Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 169-180 of 414 posts

UASIN GISHU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
UASIN GISHU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for UASIN GISHU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Sep 29, 2025 2 min 10,967
TURKANA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TURKANA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TURKANA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Sep 23, 2025 2 min 11,004
2022 County Spotlight: Machakos and Makueni — Kamba Country's Vote
2022 County Spotlight: Machakos and Makueni — Kamba Country's Vote

Machakos and Makueni counties delivered a decisive Kamba bloc vote for the late Raila Odinga in 2022. Machakos gave him...

Sep 23, 2025 5 min 4,788
TRANS NZOIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TRANS NZOIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TRANS NZOIA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Sep 17, 2025 2 min 3,415
The Agent's Guide: How Parallel Vote Tallying Works at the Polling Station
The Agent's Guide: How Parallel Vote Tallying Works at the Polling Station

Your agent has arrived at the polling station. The presiding officer has started the count. Votes are being tallied on t...

Sep 15, 2025 8 min 9,788
THARAKA-NITHI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
THARAKA-NITHI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for THARAKA-NITHI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign tea...

Sep 11, 2025 2 min 4,207
ISIOLO Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk
ISIOLO Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk

County-level connectivity risk brief for ISIOLO: where transmission can fail and how campaign teams should prepare.

Sep 11, 2025 2 min 5,671
ANC, FORD-Kenya, and Wiper: Western and Eastern Kenya's Opposition in Numbers
ANC, FORD-Kenya, and Wiper: Western and Eastern Kenya's Opposition in Numbers

Within the NASA coalition, three parties carved out regional kingdoms. Wiper held the most seats overall with 108 across...

Sep 07, 2025 6 min 6,102
TANA RIVER 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TANA RIVER 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TANA RIVER: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Sep 05, 2025 2 min 8,845
GARISSA Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk
GARISSA Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk

County-level connectivity risk brief for GARISSA: where transmission can fail and how campaign teams should prepare.

Sep 04, 2025 2 min 9,498
Five Years On: Remembering August 8, 2017 by the Numbers
Five Years On: Remembering August 8, 2017 by the Numbers

19.6 million registered voters. 8 presidential candidates. 10,667 KIEMS kits. One Supreme Court annulment. August 8, 201...

Aug 31, 2025 4 min 3,163
TAITA TAVETA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TAITA TAVETA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TAITA TAVETA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign team...

Aug 30, 2025 2 min 8,035