Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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SIAYA: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Highest Turnout Counties)
SIAYA: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for SIAYA: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...

Dec 22, 2025 2 min 11,935
SIAYA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
SIAYA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for SIAYA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Aug 24, 2025 2 min 10,547
The Luo Nyanza Turnout Machine: 93% for Raila and Still Not Enough
The Luo Nyanza Turnout Machine: 93% for Raila and Still Not Enough

Luo Nyanza delivered extraordinary loyalty to Raila Odinga in 2022: 93-97% vote shares across Kisumu, Homa Bay, and Siay...

Nov 14, 2022 5 min 9,199