Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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2022 County Spotlight: Migori — The late Raila’s Bridge to Western Kenya
2022 County Spotlight: Migori — The late Raila’s Bridge to Western Kenya

Migori County gave the late Raila Odinga 84.58% of its vote in 2022 — making it one of his strongest counties outside th...

Apr 23, 2026 5 min 2,512
2022 County Spotlight: Kisumu and Homa Bay — Odinga’s Lakeside Fortress
2022 County Spotlight: Kisumu and Homa Bay — Odinga’s Lakeside Fortress

Kisumu (97.45% Odinga) and Homa Bay (98.93% Odinga) were the two most lopsided counties in the entire 2022 election. Wit...

Jul 31, 2025 4 min 7,667
2022 County Spotlight: Siaya — 98.60% for the late Raila, the Ultimate Stronghold
2022 County Spotlight: Siaya — 98.60% for the late Raila, the Ultimate Stronghold

Siaya County gave the late Raila Odinga 371,092 votes out of 376,354 valid votes — a staggering 98.60%. William Ruto rec...

Jul 15, 2025 5 min 4,931
Presidential Strongholds: Where 90%+ of Voters Chose One Candidate
Presidential Strongholds: Where 90%+ of Voters Chose One Candidate

Kenyan presidential elections are decided in a handful of swing counties. But the story starts in the strongholds, where...

Mar 14, 2025 5 min 4,533
Azimio's Stronghold Paradox: Winning Counties but Losing the Election
Azimio's Stronghold Paradox: Winning Counties but Losing the Election

Raila Odinga's Azimio coalition won 22 of 47 counties in the presidential race. Kenya Kwanza won 25. But the real story...

Oct 25, 2022 3 min 4,464
Kisumu's 98% Loyalty: Inside Kenya's Most Predictable Stronghold
Kisumu's 98% Loyalty: Inside Kenya's Most Predictable Stronghold

Kisumu gave Raila Odinga 97.5% of the presidential vote in 2022 — almost identical to 2017 and 2013. What drives this ex...

Oct 18, 2022 3 min 4,375