Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Filtering by: coalition-politics ×

Showing 1-12 of 12 posts

Homa Bay Coalition Memo 5: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Homa Bay Coalition Memo 5: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Homa Bay using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...

Apr 24, 2026 2 min 4,020
Garissa Coalition Memo 4: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Garissa Coalition Memo 4: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Garissa using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Apr 23, 2026 2 min 3,606
Embu Coalition Memo 3: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Embu Coalition Memo 3: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Embu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, registr...

Apr 22, 2026 2 min 8,498
Elgeyo/Marakwet Coalition Memo 2: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Elgeyo/Marakwet Coalition Memo 2: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Elgeyo/Marakwet using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressu...

Apr 21, 2026 2 min 332
Busia Coalition Memo 1: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Busia Coalition Memo 1: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Busia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Apr 20, 2026 2 min 828
8 Provinces, 210 Seats, One Winner-Take-All Presidency
8 Provinces, 210 Seats, One Winner-Take-All Presidency

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Aug 10, 2025 2 min 6,367
Senator Races 2022: The Forgotten Contests That Shaped County Power
Senator Races 2022: The Forgotten Contests That Shaped County Power

Kenya's Senate races rarely make headlines, but the 2022 results gave Kenya Kwanza a Senate majority that has shaped eve...

Feb 06, 2023 3 min 10,328
How the 2022 Election Was Different From Every One Before It
How the 2022 Election Was Different From Every One Before It

From the first deputy president to run as the opposition, to the first sitting president to campaign against his own dep...

Jan 10, 2023 4 min 1,928
The Jubilee Party Collapse: From Ruling Party to Footnote in One Election
The Jubilee Party Collapse: From Ruling Party to Footnote in One Election

In 2017, Jubilee Party was an unstoppable machine — winning the presidency, 25 governorships, and dominating both houses...

Nov 22, 2022 6 min 10,524
Deputy President Race 2022: How Rigathi Gachagua Was Chosen
Deputy President Race 2022: How Rigathi Gachagua Was Chosen

Before Gachagua, there was Mathira MP speculation, Kiharu's Ndindi Nyoro, and a dozen other Mt. Kenya names. How did a r...

Nov 03, 2022 4 min 7,357
How Kenya Kwanza Built a Winning Coalition: Lessons in Alliance Arithmetic
How Kenya Kwanza Built a Winning Coalition: Lessons in Alliance Arithmetic

Kenya Kwanza brought together UDA, ANC, Ford-Kenya, and smaller parties into a coalition that covered every region and c...

Sep 18, 2022 4 min 7,879
How Raila Lost Mt. Kenya: The Azimio Coalition's Fatal Miscalculation
How Raila Lost Mt. Kenya: The Azimio Coalition's Fatal Miscalculation

The Azimio la Umoja coalition's entire strategy hinged on Mt. Kenya. With Uhuru's endorsement and Martha Karua as runnin...

Sep 12, 2022 4 min 1,488