Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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2022 County Spotlight: Kericho and Bomet — The Kalenjin Heartland
2022 County Spotlight: Kericho and Bomet — The Kalenjin Heartland

Kericho (95.32% Ruto) and Bomet (95.27% Ruto) are the two most one-sided Ruto counties in Kenya. Together they delivered...

Feb 22, 2026 4 min 6,280
2022 County Spotlight: Nakuru — The Rift Valley Battleground
2022 County Spotlight: Nakuru — The Rift Valley Battleground

Nakuru County had 1,055,515 registered voters in 2022, making it the third-largest electorate after Nairobi and Kiambu....

Aug 15, 2025 5 min 8,509
2022 County Spotlight: Elgeyo/Marakwet — Ruto’s Home Turf at 96.86%
2022 County Spotlight: Elgeyo/Marakwet — Ruto’s Home Turf at 96.86%

Elgeyo/Marakwet County gave William Ruto 160,033 votes (96.86%) in 2022. The late Raila Odinga managed just 4,893 votes...

Jul 23, 2025 4 min 10,949
Presidential Strongholds: Where 90%+ of Voters Chose One Candidate
Presidential Strongholds: Where 90%+ of Voters Chose One Candidate

Kenyan presidential elections are decided in a handful of swing counties. But the story starts in the strongholds, where...

Mar 14, 2025 5 min 4,469
Elgeyo Marakwet 2022: A County Study in Political Loyalty
Elgeyo Marakwet 2022: A County Study in Political Loyalty

With 93.7% for Ruto in the presidential race and UDA sweeping every seat, Elgeyo Marakwet is a case study in total polit...

Apr 03, 2023 3 min 8,338
Nandi and Uasin Gishu: Inside UDA's Two Fortress Counties
Nandi and Uasin Gishu: Inside UDA's Two Fortress Counties

Nandi and Uasin Gishu are the twin engines of UDA's electoral machine. In 2022, they delivered a combined net margin of...

Dec 14, 2022 5 min 545
The Rift Valley Machine: How UDA Won 90%+ in 14 Counties
The Rift Valley Machine: How UDA Won 90%+ in 14 Counties

UDA swept the Rift Valley with staggering margins in 2022 — 14 counties above 90%, five above 95%. The Kalenjin heartlan...

Oct 25, 2022 4 min 10,476
Nakuru 2022: The Swing County That Swung Hard for Kenya Kwanza
Nakuru 2022: The Swing County That Swung Hard for Kenya Kwanza

Nakuru County, Kenya's third-largest electorate with over 1.1 million registered voters, was considered the ultimate swi...

Oct 18, 2022 5 min 8,258
How UDA Swept the Rift Valley: A Ward-Level Analysis
How UDA Swept the Rift Valley: A Ward-Level Analysis

William Ruto's UDA party won every single gubernatorial race in the Rift Valley, swept parliamentary seats, and delivere...

Sep 28, 2022 4 min 4,706