Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 181-192 of 414 posts

BARINGO Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk
BARINGO Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk

County-level connectivity risk brief for BARINGO: where transmission can fail and how campaign teams should prepare.

Aug 28, 2025 2 min 8,373
SIAYA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
SIAYA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for SIAYA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Aug 24, 2025 2 min 289
The KANU Factor: From 39 Years of Power to 8 Seats
The KANU Factor: From 39 Years of Power to 8 Seats

The Kenya African National Union (KANU) was the ruling party from 1963 to 2002 -- 39 years of unbroken power. By 2017, t...

Aug 23, 2025 5 min 2,618
SAMBURU Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk
SAMBURU Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk

County-level connectivity risk brief for SAMBURU: where transmission can fail and how campaign teams should prepare.

Aug 21, 2025 2 min 9,715
Why Provincial Bloc Voting Made 2007 So Volatile
Why Provincial Bloc Voting Made 2007 So Volatile

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Aug 20, 2025 2 min 3,931
SAMBURU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
SAMBURU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for SAMBURU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Aug 18, 2025 2 min 8,563
2022 County Spotlight: Nakuru — The Rift Valley Battleground
2022 County Spotlight: Nakuru — The Rift Valley Battleground

Nakuru County had 1,055,515 registered voters in 2022, making it the third-largest electorate after Nairobi and Kiambu....

Aug 15, 2025 5 min 10,502
WAJIR Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk
WAJIR Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk

County-level connectivity risk brief for WAJIR: where transmission can fail and how campaign teams should prepare.

Aug 14, 2025 2 min 3,486
NYERI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NYERI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NYERI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Aug 12, 2025 2 min 8,703
8 Provinces, 210 Seats, One Winner-Take-All Presidency
8 Provinces, 210 Seats, One Winner-Take-All Presidency

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Aug 10, 2025 2 min 6,433
MARSABIT Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk
MARSABIT Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk

County-level connectivity risk brief for MARSABIT: where transmission can fail and how campaign teams should prepare.

Aug 07, 2025 2 min 2,451
How 120,731 Election Observers Watched Kenya's 2022 Vote
How 120,731 Election Observers Watched Kenya's 2022 Vote

Kenya accredited 15,226 observer groups and deployed over 120,731 individual observers for the 2022 General Election. Ei...

Aug 07, 2025 6 min 8,388