Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 205-216 of 414 posts

NAKURU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NAKURU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NAKURU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jul 13, 2025 2 min 3,982
The Parliamentary-Presidential Mismatch in 2007
The Parliamentary-Presidential Mismatch in 2007

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jul 11, 2025 2 min 10,429
Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 11)
Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 11)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Governor campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

Jul 10, 2025 2 min 2,986
How Votrack Solves the Network Coverage Problem: Web + USSD + Telegram
How Votrack Solves the Network Coverage Problem: Web + USSD + Telegram

In 2017, 3,032 polling stations across Kenya had zero internet coverage. Another 1,470 relied on satellite connections....

Jul 07, 2025 6 min 11,858
NAIROBI CITY 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NAIROBI CITY 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NAIROBI CITY: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign team...

Jul 07, 2025 2 min 6,457
Member of the County Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 10)
Member of the County Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 10)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Member of the County Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention...

Jul 03, 2025 2 min 6,402
MURANG'A 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MURANG'A 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MURANG'A: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...

Jul 01, 2025 2 min 1,176
How 99 ODM Seats Changed Negotiation Power in 2008
How 99 ODM Seats Changed Negotiation Power in 2008

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jul 01, 2025 2 min 6,988
What Makes a Petition Succeed? Analyzing 2017's 35 Successful Challenges
What Makes a Petition Succeed? Analyzing 2017's 35 Successful Challenges

After the 2017 General Election, 446 election petitions were filed in Kenyan courts. Only 35 succeeded, a 7.8% success r...

Jun 30, 2025 5 min 3,443
Member of the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 9)
Member of the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 9)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Member of the National Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and preventio...

Jun 26, 2025 2 min 5,924
MOMBASA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MOMBASA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MOMBASA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jun 25, 2025 2 min 5,431
Registration to Representation: The Pipeline Problem for Women
Registration to Representation: The Pipeline Problem for Women

In 2017, Kenya had 9.14 million female registered voters (46.6% of the roll). By 2022, it was 10.87 million (49.1%). Yet...

Jun 23, 2025 5 min 3,471