Showing 229-240 of 614 posts
Samburu Coalition Memo 34: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Samburu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
Predicting 2027 Turnout: What Historical Data Tells Us
Kenya's turnout has fallen from 86% to 65% across three elections. With registration projected to reach 24-26 million by...
Nyeri Coalition Memo 33: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Nyeri using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...
Nyandarua Coalition Memo 32: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Nyandarua using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, re...
Nyamira Coalition Memo 31: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Nyamira using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
KAKAMEGA: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Fastest Registration Growth)
Data-backed campaign playbook for KAKAMEGA: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents...
Narok Coalition Memo 30: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Narok using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...
Murang'a Rejected Ballot Watch: Where Ballot Quality Could Decide 2027
A county ballot-quality brief for Murang'a: rejection rate, turnout context, and practical fixes for campaigns ahead of...
Nandi Coalition Memo 29: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Nandi using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...
Nakuru Coalition Memo 28: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Nakuru using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...
2007 to 2010 Reform Timeline: The Critical Turning Points
A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...
Emurua Dikir By-Election: UDA's David Keter Wins With 62% as DCP Makes Strong Showing
UDA's David Keter wins Emurua Dikir by-election with 62.3% of the vote, though DCP's strong 36.7% showing signals growin...