Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 229-240 of 414 posts

The 231,728-Vote Margin: Why 2007 Was Contestable From Day One
The 231,728-Vote Margin: Why 2007 Was Contestable From Day One

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jun 01, 2025 2 min 7,758
Women Representatives: How Jubilee Dominated the 47 County Women Rep Seats
Women Representatives: How Jubilee Dominated the 47 County Women Rep Seats

In the 2017 General Election, Jubilee claimed 25 of 47 county Women Representative seats. ODM trailed with 11. But the r...

May 31, 2025 5 min 11,188
Member of the County Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 5)
Member of the County Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 5)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Member of the County Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention...

May 29, 2025 2 min 7,926
MAKUENI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MAKUENI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MAKUENI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

May 26, 2025 2 min 2,964
2022 County Spotlight: Kakamega — Western Kenya’s Biggest Electorate
2022 County Spotlight: Kakamega — Western Kenya’s Biggest Electorate

With 844,709 registered voters, Kakamega County is Western Kenya's electoral heavyweight. Raila Odinga won it with 71.04...

May 23, 2025 5 min 10,942
Member of the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 4)
Member of the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 4)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Member of the National Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and preventio...

May 22, 2025 2 min 826
Parallel Vote Tallying: Why Agents Photograph Form 34A and How Votrack Helps
Parallel Vote Tallying: Why Agents Photograph Form 34A and How Votrack Helps

Parallel Vote Tallying (PVT) allows parties to independently verify official results by collecting station-level data fr...

May 20, 2025 8 min 2,878
MACHAKOS 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MACHAKOS 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MACHAKOS: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...

May 20, 2025 2 min 3,433
County Women Member to the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 3)
County Women Member to the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 3)

A data-backed legal risk brief for County Women Member to the National Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate,...

May 15, 2025 2 min 3,983
The BVR Kit Crisis: 27% of Election Technology Had Hardware Defects
The BVR Kit Crisis: 27% of Election Technology Had Hardware Defects

The IEBC deployed 9,976 BVR kits for the 2017 election. But 2,692 hardware defects were recorded across critical compone...

May 15, 2025 5 min 3,813
LAMU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
LAMU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for LAMU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can pl...

May 14, 2025 2 min 9,453
LAIKIPIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
LAIKIPIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for LAIKIPIA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...

May 08, 2025 2 min 1,185