Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 253-264 of 414 posts

From Violence to Reform: How 2007 Led to Kenya's New Constitution
From Violence to Reform: How 2007 Led to Kenya's New Constitution

The 2007-2008 post-election crisis killed approximately 1,500 Kenyans and displaced over 600,000. The Waki Commission in...

Apr 08, 2025 8 min 8,253
KIRINYAGA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
KIRINYAGA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for KIRINYAGA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams c...

Apr 08, 2025 2 min 6,499
2022 County Spotlight: Mombasa — The County Where Only 43% Voted
2022 County Spotlight: Mombasa — The County Where Only 43% Voted

With 642,362 registered voters and a turnout of just 43.76%, Mombasa recorded the lowest turnout of any major Kenyan cou...

Apr 07, 2025 5 min 6,546
The Electoral Code of Conduct in Kenya: What Every Agent and Candidate Must Follow
The Electoral Code of Conduct in Kenya: What Every Agent and Candidate Must Follow

Kenya's Electoral Code of Conduct binds all candidates, parties, and their agents. It mandates respect for opponents, no...

Apr 05, 2025 6 min 9,550
KILIFI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
KILIFI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for KILIFI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Apr 02, 2025 2 min 3,892
The Role of Parallel Vote Tallying in Ensuring Election Integrity
The Role of Parallel Vote Tallying in Ensuring Election Integrity

When the 2022 presidential election was decided by 233,211 votes across 46,229 polling stations, the difference between...

Mar 31, 2025 7 min 11,614
KIAMBU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
KIAMBU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for KIAMBU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Mar 27, 2025 2 min 7,844
The Agent Communication Hierarchy: How Election Results Flow from Station to Headquarters
The Agent Communication Hierarchy: How Election Results Flow from Station to Headquarters

Kenya's election agent communication hierarchy has four tiers: Polling Station Agent, Constituency Chief Agent, County C...

Mar 22, 2025 6 min 3,726
2022 County Spotlight: Kiambu — From Kenyatta Country to Ruto Territory
2022 County Spotlight: Kiambu — From Kenyatta Country to Ruto Territory

Kiambu County, home to the Kenyatta dynasty and Kenya’s second-largest electorate at 1.28 million voters, flipped from K...

Mar 22, 2025 5 min 1,221
KERICHO 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
KERICHO 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for KERICHO: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Mar 21, 2025 2 min 365
KAKAMEGA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
KAKAMEGA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for KAKAMEGA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...

Mar 15, 2025 2 min 5,330
Presidential Strongholds: Where 90%+ of Voters Chose One Candidate
Presidential Strongholds: Where 90%+ of Voters Chose One Candidate

Kenyan presidential elections are decided in a handful of swing counties. But the story starts in the strongholds, where...

Mar 14, 2025 5 min 4,612