Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 277-288 of 337 posts

Senator Races 2022: The Forgotten Contests That Shaped County Power
Senator Races 2022: The Forgotten Contests That Shaped County Power

Kenya's Senate races rarely make headlines, but the 2022 results gave Kenya Kwanza a Senate majority that has shaped eve...

Feb 06, 2023 3 min 10,328
The Role of Social Media in 2022: WhatsApp, TikTok, and the New Campaign Trail
The Role of Social Media in 2022: WhatsApp, TikTok, and the New Campaign Trail

Kenya's 2022 election was the first where social media spending rivaled traditional media budgets. WhatsApp groups becam...

Jan 20, 2023 4 min 1,689
Women Representative Winners 2022: County-by-County Margins
Women Representative Winners 2022: County-by-County Margins

A county-by-county breakdown of all 47 women representative races in 2022. With average winning margins of 11.3% and sev...

Jan 20, 2023 5 min 8,186
The Parallel Vote Tally: How Parties Ran Shadow Counts in 2022
The Parallel Vote Tally: How Parties Ran Shadow Counts in 2022

In the 2022 Kenyan election, both major coalitions deployed tens of thousands of party agents to independently tally res...

Jan 18, 2023 6 min 4,927
Lessons From 2022: Ten Things Kenya's Election Got Right
Lessons From 2022: Ten Things Kenya's Election Got Right

Amid the drama and petitions, Kenya's 2022 general election achieved several milestones worth celebrating. From biometri...

Jan 15, 2023 4 min 8,188
The 2022 Campaign Timeline: From Party Primaries to Inauguration Day
The 2022 Campaign Timeline: From Party Primaries to Inauguration Day

A chronological reconstruction of Kenya's 2022 election cycle: party primaries marred by violence, coalition formation c...

Jan 15, 2023 5 min 2,936
The Presidential Debate Effect: Did the 2022 Debates Change Any Votes?
The Presidential Debate Effect: Did the 2022 Debates Change Any Votes?

Kenya's 2022 presidential debates attracted millions of viewers and dominated social media for days. But polling data be...

Jan 12, 2023 5 min 10,373
Coast Region 2022: Joho's Exit, Nassir's Rise, and the Governor Musical Chairs
Coast Region 2022: Joho's Exit, Nassir's Rise, and the Governor Musical Chairs

The Coast region experienced a complete political reset in 2022. Every single governor was replaced. Joho left Mombasa,...

Jan 10, 2023 5 min 5,534
How the 2022 Election Was Different From Every One Before It
How the 2022 Election Was Different From Every One Before It

From the first deputy president to run as the opposition, to the first sitting president to campaign against his own dep...

Jan 10, 2023 4 min 1,929
The National Assembly Class of 2022: A Demographic Profile of 290 MPs
The National Assembly Class of 2022: A Demographic Profile of 290 MPs

A comprehensive demographic analysis of the 290 MPs elected to Kenya's National Assembly in 2022. The class is 90% male,...

Dec 15, 2022 5 min 4,692
The Independent Candidates of 2022: 5,000 Tried, 14 Won
The Independent Candidates of 2022: 5,000 Tried, 14 Won

Running without a party in Kenya is political suicide — unless you're Kawira Mwangaza. Of the 5,000+ independent candida...

Dec 15, 2022 4 min 3,086
Nandi and Uasin Gishu: Inside UDA's Two Fortress Counties
Nandi and Uasin Gishu: Inside UDA's Two Fortress Counties

Nandi and Uasin Gishu are the twin engines of UDA's electoral machine. In 2022, they delivered a combined net margin of...

Dec 14, 2022 5 min 11,388