Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 289-300 of 412 posts

BARINGO 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
BARINGO 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for BARINGO: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jan 08, 2025 2 min 5,250
Party Dominance in Parliament: How Jubilee Won 140 of 289 MP Seats in 2017
Party Dominance in Parliament: How Jubilee Won 140 of 289 MP Seats in 2017

In 2017, Kenya's National Assembly was elected across 290 constituencies. Twenty-one different political parties won sea...

Jan 07, 2025 4 min 3,824
Voter Registration: Where Kenya Added 8 Million Voters in 9 Years
Voter Registration: Where Kenya Added 8 Million Voters in 9 Years

Kenya's voter register grew from 14.4 million in 2013 to 22.1 million in 2022. That is 7.7 million new voters in 9 years...

Dec 30, 2024 4 min 4,555
The 2017 Supreme Court Annulment: What the Numbers Say
The 2017 Supreme Court Annulment: What the Numbers Say

On 1st September 2017, Kenya's Supreme Court annulled the presidential election — the first such ruling in African histo...

Dec 22, 2024 4 min 11,808
Ballot Classification in Kenya: Valid, Rejected, Disputed, and Objected Votes
Ballot Classification in Kenya: Valid, Rejected, Disputed, and Objected Votes

The five categories of ballot classification in Kenyan elections: valid, rejected, rejection objected to, disputed, and...

Dec 15, 2024 5 min 757
Election Petitions: From 36 in 2007 to 446 in 2017 — A 1,138% Increase
Election Petitions: From 36 in 2007 to 446 in 2017 — A 1,138% Increase

In 2007, only 36 election petitions were filed in Kenyan courts. By 2013, that number jumped to 188. Then in 2017, it ex...

Dec 14, 2024 5 min 6,451
Rejected Ballots: How Kenya Cut Spoiled Votes From 1.5% to 0.8%
Rejected Ballots: How Kenya Cut Spoiled Votes From 1.5% to 0.8%

Every election, thousands of Kenyan ballots get rejected. A stray mark, a vote for two candidates, an unclear intention....

Dec 07, 2024 4 min 2,171
The 2007 Election That Changed Kenya Forever: A Data Retrospective
The 2007 Election That Changed Kenya Forever: A Data Retrospective

The 2007 Kenya general election remains the most consequential vote in the nation's history. Mwai Kibaki's PNU claimed 4...

Dec 07, 2024 6 min 2,888
Vote Counting at Kenyan Polling Stations: The Complete Process Explained
Vote Counting at Kenyan Polling Stations: The Complete Process Explained

The complete vote-counting process at Kenyan polling stations: venue layout, sorting order, counting mechanics, recounts...

Dec 01, 2024 5 min 11,280
The Two Battleground Counties: Narok and Kajiado Were Decided by Less Than 3%
The Two Battleground Counties: Narok and Kajiado Were Decided by Less Than 3%

In the 2022 presidential election, Narok and Kajiado were the two largest counties decided by less than 4 percentage poi...

Nov 30, 2024 5 min 8,696
2022: Ruto vs Odinga — The Closest Presidential Race Since 2013
2022: Ruto vs Odinga — The Closest Presidential Race Since 2013

William Ruto won the 2022 presidential election with 7,176,141 votes (50.49%) against Raila Odinga’s 6,942,930 votes (48...

Nov 22, 2024 5 min 1,358
Closing the Polls in Kenya: What Happens After 5PM on Election Day
Closing the Polls in Kenya: What Happens After 5PM on Election Day

What happens after the last voter casts their ballot at a Kenyan polling station: sealing ballot boxes, completing the p...

Nov 15, 2024 5 min 1,793