Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 241-252 of 414 posts

Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 2)
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 2)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Senator campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

May 08, 2025 2 min 4,927
Digital Democracy: 3,032 Polling Stations Had ZERO Network Coverage in 2017
Digital Democracy: 3,032 Polling Stations Had ZERO Network Coverage in 2017

Kenya's 2017 election depended on digital results transmission. But 3,032 of 40,883 polling stations had zero network co...

May 07, 2025 4 min 7,214
What IEBC Expects from Polling Agents: Training, Conduct, and Responsibilities
What IEBC Expects from Polling Agents: Training, Conduct, and Responsibilities

The IEBC expects polling agents to attend training, arrive by 5AM, remain objective, sign statutory forms, avoid campaig...

May 05, 2025 7 min 10,339
KWALE 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
KWALE 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for KWALE: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

May 02, 2025 2 min 6,788
Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 1)
Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 1)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Governor campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

May 01, 2025 2 min 394
The Senate Race: 47 Seats, 9 Parties, and Zero Successful Petitions
The Senate Race: 47 Seats, 9 Parties, and Zero Successful Petitions

In 2017, nine political parties shared 47 senate seats. Jubilee took 24, ODM won 13, and the rest were split among seven...

Apr 30, 2025 4 min 1,323
KITUI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
KITUI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for KITUI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Apr 26, 2025 2 min 11,755
2022 County Spotlight: Murang’a — 81.68% for Ruto in Kenyatta’s Backyard
2022 County Spotlight: Murang’a — 81.68% for Ruto in Kenyatta’s Backyard

Murang’a County gave William Ruto 343,349 votes (81.68%) in 2022, one of the strongest showings in Mt. Kenya. This from...

Apr 23, 2025 5 min 2,405
KIEMS Kit and Biometric Voter Verification: What Agents Need to Know
KIEMS Kit and Biometric Voter Verification: What Agents Need to Know

The Kenya Integrated Election Management System (KIEMS) kit is the technological backbone of modern Kenyan elections. It...

Apr 20, 2025 7 min 4,046
KISUMU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
KISUMU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for KISUMU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Apr 20, 2025 2 min 5,792
Kenyans Abroad: Diaspora Voting Grew from 2,637 to 10,443 Voters
Kenyans Abroad: Diaspora Voting Grew from 2,637 to 10,443 Voters

Kenya's diaspora voter roll grew nearly fourfold from 2013 to 2022. What started as a small pilot in 5 African countries...

Apr 15, 2025 5 min 5,741
KISII 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
KISII 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for KISII: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Apr 14, 2025 2 min 8,968