Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 217-228 of 414 posts

Could a 50%+1 Rule Have Prevented the 2007 Crisis?
Could a 50%+1 Rule Have Prevented the 2007 Crisis?

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jun 21, 2025 2 min 9,446
County Women Member to the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 8)
County Women Member to the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 8)

A data-backed legal risk brief for County Women Member to the National Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate,...

Jun 19, 2025 2 min 11,947
MIGORI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MIGORI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MIGORI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jun 19, 2025 2 min 4,268
Biometric Voter Verification: How 88.6% of Voters Were Fingerprinted in 2017
Biometric Voter Verification: How 88.6% of Voters Were Fingerprinted in 2017

The 2017 election was a massive test of biometric technology. IEBC deployed 10,667 KIEMS kits to verify voters by finger...

Jun 15, 2025 5 min 5,993
MERU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MERU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MERU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can pl...

Jun 13, 2025 2 min 10,350
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 7)
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 7)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Senator campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

Jun 12, 2025 2 min 8,946
2007 by the Numbers: What We Can Prove From Surviving Datasets
2007 by the Numbers: What We Can Prove From Surviving Datasets

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jun 11, 2025 2 min 8,562
2022's Closest Races: Where a Few Hundred Votes Changed Everything
2022's Closest Races: Where a Few Hundred Votes Changed Everything

Kenya's 2022 election produced some of the tightest margins in the country's multiparty history. At the presidential lev...

Jun 07, 2025 6 min 6,781
MARSABIT 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MARSABIT 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MARSABIT: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...

Jun 07, 2025 2 min 676
Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 6)
Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 6)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Governor campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

Jun 05, 2025 2 min 9,961
The ORPP Agents Quick Guide: Why Every Party Official in Kenya Needs This Document
The ORPP Agents Quick Guide: Why Every Party Official in Kenya Needs This Document

The ORPP Agents Quick Guide (June 2022) is mandatory reading for every party official, candidate, and polling agent in K...

Jun 01, 2025 7 min 11,530
MANDERA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MANDERA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MANDERA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jun 01, 2025 2 min 6,212