Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 157-168 of 414 posts

ELGEYO / MARAKWET: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)
ELGEYO / MARAKWET: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for ELGEYO / MARAKWET: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to pla...

Nov 10, 2025 2 min 6,963
KERICHO: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Highest Turnout Counties)
KERICHO: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for KERICHO: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents a...

Nov 04, 2025 2 min 3,107
2025 Year in Review: 12 Data Insights That Defined Our Understanding of Kenyan Elections
2025 Year in Review: 12 Data Insights That Defined Our Understanding of Kenyan Elections

Over the past year, we have published over 40 data-driven articles covering every aspect of Kenya's elections from 2007...

Oct 31, 2025 5 min 9,219
WEST POKOT: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Highest Turnout Counties)
WEST POKOT: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for WEST POKOT: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agent...

Oct 29, 2025 2 min 8,051
The Closest MP Race in 2013: Won by Just 24 Votes in Tarbaj
The Closest MP Race in 2013: Won by Just 24 Votes in Tarbaj

The 2013 general election produced some of Kenya's tightest parliamentary races in history. In Tarbaj constituency (Waji...

Oct 23, 2025 4 min 5,975
BOMET: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Highest Turnout Counties)
BOMET: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for BOMET: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...

Oct 23, 2025 2 min 5,711
WEST POKOT 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
WEST POKOT 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for WEST POKOT: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Oct 17, 2025 2 min 9,063
2022 County Spotlight: Bungoma — Where Ruto Outperformed Expectations
2022 County Spotlight: Bungoma — Where Ruto Outperformed Expectations

Bungoma County was supposed to be Azimio territory. Western Kenya had traditionally voted with Odinga. But William Ruto...

Oct 15, 2025 5 min 4,645
WAJIR 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
WAJIR 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for WAJIR: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Oct 11, 2025 2 min 6,691
How Many Parties Does Kenya Really Need? The 41-Party Parliament
How Many Parties Does Kenya Really Need? The 41-Party Parliament

Kenya's 2017 election produced a parliament fragmented across 41 political parties. Jubilee and ODM dominated, but dozen...

Oct 07, 2025 5 min 7,508
VIHIGA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
VIHIGA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for VIHIGA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Oct 05, 2025 2 min 4,308
Prison Voters: 7,483 Kenyans Voted from Behind Bars in 2022
Prison Voters: 7,483 Kenyans Voted from Behind Bars in 2022

In the 2022 general election, 7,483 Kenyans exercised their right to vote from 118 prison facilities across the country....

Oct 01, 2025 6 min 4,933