Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 157-168 of 287 posts

What Agents Must Do During Counting: A Practical Checklist
What Agents Must Do During Counting: A Practical Checklist

A practical 15-point checklist for party agents during vote counting at Kenyan polling stations: from verifying your app...

Jan 25, 2025 7 min 9,673
2022 County Spotlight: Nairobi — 2.42 Million Voters, 12,869 Rejected Ballots
2022 County Spotlight: Nairobi — 2.42 Million Voters, 12,869 Rejected Ballots

Nairobi County had 2,416,551 registered voters in 2022 — the largest electorate in Kenya. Odinga won it with 767,395 vot...

Jan 23, 2025 6 min 3,385
BUNGOMA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
BUNGOMA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for BUNGOMA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jan 20, 2025 2 min 1,188
Kibaki vs Raila: The Numbers Behind Kenya's Most Disputed Election
Kibaki vs Raila: The Numbers Behind Kenya's Most Disputed Election

A province-by-province breakdown of the 2007 presidential election reveals why the results remain Kenya's most disputed....

Jan 15, 2025 7 min 4,658
The MCA Landscape: 1,448 Wards, 41 Parties, and the Most Diverse Political Arena
The MCA Landscape: 1,448 Wards, 41 Parties, and the Most Diverse Political Arena

The 2017 MCA elections were the most politically diverse contest in Kenya. While 21 parties won National Assembly seats,...

Jan 15, 2025 5 min 9,482
BOMET 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
BOMET 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for BOMET: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Jan 14, 2025 2 min 2,879
Statutory Result Forms in Kenya: What Form 34A to 39A Capture and Why Agents Sign
Statutory Result Forms in Kenya: What Form 34A to 39A Capture and Why Agents Sign

A detailed guide to statutory result forms 34A through 39A used in Kenyan elections: what each form captures, why agents...

Jan 10, 2025 5 min 3,634
BARINGO 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
BARINGO 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for BARINGO: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jan 08, 2025 2 min 3,458
Party Dominance in Parliament: How Jubilee Won 140 of 289 MP Seats in 2017
Party Dominance in Parliament: How Jubilee Won 140 of 289 MP Seats in 2017

In 2017, Kenya's National Assembly was elected across 290 constituencies. Twenty-one different political parties won sea...

Jan 07, 2025 4 min 317
Voter Registration: Where Kenya Added 8 Million Voters in 9 Years
Voter Registration: Where Kenya Added 8 Million Voters in 9 Years

Kenya's voter register grew from 14.4 million in 2013 to 22.1 million in 2022. That is 7.7 million new voters in 9 years...

Dec 30, 2024 4 min 8,725
The 2017 Supreme Court Annulment: What the Numbers Say
The 2017 Supreme Court Annulment: What the Numbers Say

On 1st September 2017, Kenya's Supreme Court annulled the presidential election — the first such ruling in African histo...

Dec 22, 2024 4 min 244
Ballot Classification in Kenya: Valid, Rejected, Disputed, and Objected Votes
Ballot Classification in Kenya: Valid, Rejected, Disputed, and Objected Votes

The five categories of ballot classification in Kenyan elections: valid, rejected, rejection objected to, disputed, and...

Dec 15, 2024 5 min 6,636