Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 133-144 of 412 posts

Kirinyaga 2027 Readiness Brief 15: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Kirinyaga 2027 Readiness Brief 15: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Kirinyaga using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, re...

Mar 15, 2026 2 min 9,655
2022 County Spotlight: Marsabit and Isiolo — The Surprising Northern Split
2022 County Spotlight: Marsabit and Isiolo — The Surprising Northern Split

Marsabit (Ruto 51.16%, margin 3,107 votes) and Isiolo (Ruto 54.77%) were among the most competitive counties in northern...

Mar 15, 2026 4 min 11,854
Kilifi 2027 Readiness Brief 14: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Kilifi 2027 Readiness Brief 14: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Kilifi using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...

Mar 14, 2026 2 min 10,009
Kiambu 2027 Readiness Brief 13: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Kiambu 2027 Readiness Brief 13: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Kiambu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...

Mar 13, 2026 2 min 5,411
Kericho 2027 Readiness Brief 12: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Kericho 2027 Readiness Brief 12: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Kericho using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Mar 12, 2026 2 min 3,222
380 Million Web Requests: How Kenyans Tracked 2022 Results Online
380 Million Web Requests: How Kenyans Tracked 2022 Results Online

When the IEBC launched its public results portal for the 2022 election, Kenyans responded with unprecedented demand. The...

Mar 07, 2026 5 min 8,311
2022 County Spotlight: Kitui and Tharaka-Nithi — The Eastern Divide
2022 County Spotlight: Kitui and Tharaka-Nithi — The Eastern Divide

Kitui (71.53% Odinga) and Tharaka-Nithi (89.79% Ruto) are neighbours that voted in completely opposite directions in 202...

Feb 28, 2026 4 min 7,274
2022 County Spotlight: Kericho and Bomet — The Kalenjin Heartland
2022 County Spotlight: Kericho and Bomet — The Kalenjin Heartland

Kericho (95.32% Ruto) and Bomet (95.27% Ruto) are the two most one-sided Ruto counties in Kenya. Together they delivered...

Feb 22, 2026 4 min 11,398
How Valid Votes Varied by Position in 2013: The Down-Ballot Drop-Off
How Valid Votes Varied by Position in 2013: The Down-Ballot Drop-Off

In 2013, Kenyans received six different ballots. The presidential ballot received 12,221,053 valid votes. But by the tim...

Feb 15, 2026 5 min 3,175
2022 County Spotlight: Garissa, Wajir, and Mandera — The Northeastern Bloc
2022 County Spotlight: Garissa, Wajir, and Mandera — The Northeastern Bloc

The three Northeastern counties — Garissa, Wajir, and Mandera — are often treated as a political bloc. But in 2022, they...

Feb 07, 2026 4 min 3,341
The Wajackoyah Factor: Did the Third Candidate Affect the 2022 Result?
The Wajackoyah Factor: Did the Third Candidate Affect the 2022 Result?

Professor George Wajackoyah's Roots Party captured 61,969 votes (0.44%) in the 2022 presidential election. With a Ruto-O...

Jan 31, 2026 6 min 11,083
From Kenyatta to Ruto: How Mt. Kenya's Vote Shifted in 2022
From Kenyatta to Ruto: How Mt. Kenya's Vote Shifted in 2022

Mt. Kenya's six core counties voted 92-99% for Kenyatta in 2017 and 73-85% for Ruto in 2022. The transfer worked, but th...

Jan 23, 2026 5 min 5,461