Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 61-72 of 287 posts

WAJIR Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk
WAJIR Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk

County-level connectivity risk brief for WAJIR: where transmission can fail and how campaign teams should prepare.

Aug 14, 2025 2 min 739
NYERI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NYERI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NYERI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Aug 12, 2025 2 min 9,484
8 Provinces, 210 Seats, One Winner-Take-All Presidency
8 Provinces, 210 Seats, One Winner-Take-All Presidency

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Aug 10, 2025 2 min 1,749
MARSABIT Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk
MARSABIT Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk

County-level connectivity risk brief for MARSABIT: where transmission can fail and how campaign teams should prepare.

Aug 07, 2025 2 min 6,543
How 120,731 Election Observers Watched Kenya's 2022 Vote
How 120,731 Election Observers Watched Kenya's 2022 Vote

Kenya accredited 15,226 observer groups and deployed over 120,731 individual observers for the 2022 General Election. Ei...

Aug 07, 2025 6 min 11,224
NYANDARUA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NYANDARUA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NYANDARUA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams c...

Aug 06, 2025 2 min 9,223
NYAMIRA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NYAMIRA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NYAMIRA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jul 31, 2025 2 min 10,301
WEST POKOT Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk
WEST POKOT Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk

County-level connectivity risk brief for WEST POKOT: where transmission can fail and how campaign teams should prepare.

Jul 31, 2025 2 min 2,669
From ECK to IEBC: Institutional Lessons from 2007
From ECK to IEBC: Institutional Lessons from 2007

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jul 31, 2025 2 min 5,163
2022 County Spotlight: Kisumu and Homa Bay — Odinga’s Lakeside Fortress
2022 County Spotlight: Kisumu and Homa Bay — Odinga’s Lakeside Fortress

Kisumu (97.45% Odinga) and Homa Bay (98.93% Odinga) were the two most lopsided counties in the entire 2022 election. Wit...

Jul 31, 2025 4 min 7,353
NAROK 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NAROK 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NAROK: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Jul 25, 2025 2 min 4,107
TURKANA Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk
TURKANA Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk

County-level connectivity risk brief for TURKANA: where transmission can fail and how campaign teams should prepare.

Jul 24, 2025 2 min 5,908