Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 73-84 of 412 posts

Isiolo Coalition Memo 6: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Isiolo Coalition Memo 6: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Isiolo using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...

Apr 25, 2026 2 min 10,980
TAITA TAVETA: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Lowest Turnout Counties)
TAITA TAVETA: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Lowest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for TAITA TAVETA: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan age...

Apr 25, 2026 2 min 12,004
Nakuru Rejected Ballot Watch: Where Ballot Quality Could Decide 2027
Nakuru Rejected Ballot Watch: Where Ballot Quality Could Decide 2027

A county ballot-quality brief for Nakuru: rejection rate, turnout context, and practical fixes for campaigns ahead of 20...

Apr 25, 2026 2 min 3,729
Homa Bay Coalition Memo 5: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Homa Bay Coalition Memo 5: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Homa Bay using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...

Apr 24, 2026 2 min 4,104
Garissa Coalition Memo 4: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Garissa Coalition Memo 4: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Garissa using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Apr 23, 2026 2 min 3,682
2022 County Spotlight: Migori — The late Raila’s Bridge to Western Kenya
2022 County Spotlight: Migori — The late Raila’s Bridge to Western Kenya

Migori County gave the late Raila Odinga 84.58% of its vote in 2022 — making it one of his strongest counties outside th...

Apr 23, 2026 5 min 2,581
Embu Coalition Memo 3: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Embu Coalition Memo 3: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Embu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, registr...

Apr 22, 2026 2 min 8,569
Elgeyo/Marakwet Coalition Memo 2: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Elgeyo/Marakwet Coalition Memo 2: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Elgeyo/Marakwet using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressu...

Apr 21, 2026 2 min 397
Busia Coalition Memo 1: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Busia Coalition Memo 1: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Busia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Apr 20, 2026 2 min 900
MAKUENI: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Lowest Turnout Counties)
MAKUENI: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Lowest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for MAKUENI: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents a...

Apr 20, 2026 2 min 9,861
Bungoma 2027 Readiness Brief 50: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Bungoma 2027 Readiness Brief 50: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Bungoma using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Apr 19, 2026 2 min 3,987
Kiambu Rejected Ballot Watch: Where Ballot Quality Could Decide 2027
Kiambu Rejected Ballot Watch: Where Ballot Quality Could Decide 2027

A county ballot-quality brief for Kiambu: rejection rate, turnout context, and practical fixes for campaigns ahead of 20...

Apr 19, 2026 2 min 11,878