Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Showing 73-84 of 287 posts

2022 County Spotlight: Elgeyo/Marakwet — Ruto’s Home Turf at 96.86%
2022 County Spotlight: Elgeyo/Marakwet — Ruto’s Home Turf at 96.86%

Elgeyo/Marakwet County gave William Ruto 160,033 votes (96.86%) in 2022. The late Raila Odinga managed just 4,893 votes...

Jul 23, 2025 4 min 10,949
36 Petitions in 2007: The Forgotten Baseline
36 Petitions in 2007: The Forgotten Baseline

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jul 21, 2025 2 min 6,890
NANDI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NANDI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NANDI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Jul 19, 2025 2 min 11,145
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 12)
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 12)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Senator campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

Jul 17, 2025 2 min 11,394
2022 County Spotlight: Siaya — 98.60% for the late Raila, the Ultimate Stronghold
2022 County Spotlight: Siaya — 98.60% for the late Raila, the Ultimate Stronghold

Siaya County gave the late Raila Odinga 371,092 votes out of 376,354 valid votes — a staggering 98.60%. William Ruto rec...

Jul 15, 2025 5 min 1,452
NAKURU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NAKURU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NAKURU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jul 13, 2025 2 min 2,653
The Parliamentary-Presidential Mismatch in 2007
The Parliamentary-Presidential Mismatch in 2007

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jul 11, 2025 2 min 10,008
Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 11)
Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 11)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Governor campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

Jul 10, 2025 2 min 7,655
NAIROBI CITY 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NAIROBI CITY 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NAIROBI CITY: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign team...

Jul 07, 2025 2 min 7,941
How Votrack Solves the Network Coverage Problem: Web + USSD + Telegram
How Votrack Solves the Network Coverage Problem: Web + USSD + Telegram

In 2017, 3,032 polling stations across Kenya had zero internet coverage. Another 1,470 relied on satellite connections....

Jul 07, 2025 6 min 2,547
Member of the County Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 10)
Member of the County Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 10)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Member of the County Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention...

Jul 03, 2025 2 min 9,177
MURANG'A 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MURANG'A 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MURANG'A: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...

Jul 01, 2025 2 min 5,653