Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 1-12 of 43 posts

Homa Bay Coalition Memo 5: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Homa Bay Coalition Memo 5: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Homa Bay using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...

Apr 24, 2026 2 min 4,019
Garissa Coalition Memo 4: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Garissa Coalition Memo 4: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Garissa using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Apr 23, 2026 2 min 3,605
Embu Coalition Memo 3: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Embu Coalition Memo 3: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Embu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, registr...

Apr 22, 2026 2 min 8,497
Elgeyo/Marakwet Coalition Memo 2: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Elgeyo/Marakwet Coalition Memo 2: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Elgeyo/Marakwet using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressu...

Apr 21, 2026 2 min 331
Busia Coalition Memo 1: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Busia Coalition Memo 1: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Busia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Apr 20, 2026 2 min 827
The Cost of Petitions: 446 Court Cases and What They Achieved
The Cost of Petitions: 446 Court Cases and What They Achieved

Kenya's election petition numbers tell a paradoxical story. Petitions filed grew from 36 (2007) to 188 (2013) to 446 (20...

Mar 31, 2026 4 min 1,173
From ECK to IEBC: Institutional Lessons from 2007
From ECK to IEBC: Institutional Lessons from 2007

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jul 31, 2025 2 min 11,470
36 Petitions in 2007: The Forgotten Baseline
36 Petitions in 2007: The Forgotten Baseline

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jul 21, 2025 2 min 1,613
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 12)
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 12)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Senator campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

Jul 17, 2025 2 min 1,151
Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 11)
Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 11)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Governor campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

Jul 10, 2025 2 min 2,918
Member of the County Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 10)
Member of the County Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 10)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Member of the County Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention...

Jul 03, 2025 2 min 6,330
Member of the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 9)
Member of the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 9)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Member of the National Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and preventio...

Jun 26, 2025 2 min 5,852