Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 25-36 of 38 posts

Rejected Ballots: How Kenya Cut Spoiled Votes From 1.5% to 0.8%
Rejected Ballots: How Kenya Cut Spoiled Votes From 1.5% to 0.8%

Every election, thousands of Kenyan ballots get rejected. A stray mark, a vote for two candidates, an unclear intention....

Dec 07, 2024 4 min 2,171
The Great Turnout Decline: From 86% in 2013 to 65% in 2022
The Great Turnout Decline: From 86% in 2013 to 65% in 2022

Kenya's voter turnout dropped 21 percentage points in just three election cycles. Central Province went from 92% to unde...

Oct 30, 2024 5 min 8,110
The Final IEBC Tally: Breaking Down Form 34C Number by Number
The Final IEBC Tally: Breaking Down Form 34C Number by Number

The Form 34C is where Kenya's presidential election officially ends. We break down every line item on the 2022 declarati...

May 08, 2023 3 min 5,425
Elgeyo Marakwet 2022: A County Study in Political Loyalty
Elgeyo Marakwet 2022: A County Study in Political Loyalty

With 93.7% for Ruto in the presidential race and UDA sweeping every seat, Elgeyo Marakwet is a case study in total polit...

Apr 03, 2023 3 min 5,859
The Independent Candidates of 2022: 5,000 Tried, 14 Won
The Independent Candidates of 2022: 5,000 Tried, 14 Won

Running without a party in Kenya is political suicide — unless you're Kawira Mwangaza. Of the 5,000+ independent candida...

Dec 15, 2022 4 min 3,154
The Gender Gap in 2022: Only 29 Women Won Parliamentary Seats
The Gender Gap in 2022: Only 29 Women Won Parliamentary Seats

Kenya's Constitution requires that no more than two-thirds of any elective body be of one gender. Twelve years after thi...

Dec 08, 2022 3 min 4,197
The Youth Candidate Wave: Under-35s Who Ran for MCA in 2022
The Youth Candidate Wave: Under-35s Who Ran for MCA in 2022

Kenya's MCA race is where political careers begin, and in 2022, thousands of young candidates threw their hats in. The d...

Dec 01, 2022 4 min 10,695
Election Day Violence Map: Where Kenya's Hotspots Were in 2022
Election Day Violence Map: Where Kenya's Hotspots Were in 2022

Kenya's 2022 election was largely peaceful — but not entirely. At least 40 incidents of election-related violence were d...

Nov 08, 2022 3 min 8,482
The Rift Valley Machine: How UDA Won 90%+ in 14 Counties
The Rift Valley Machine: How UDA Won 90%+ in 14 Counties

UDA swept the Rift Valley with staggering margins in 2022 — 14 counties above 90%, five above 95%. The Kalenjin heartlan...

Oct 25, 2022 4 min 592
Azimio's Stronghold Paradox: Winning Counties but Losing the Election
Azimio's Stronghold Paradox: Winning Counties but Losing the Election

Raila Odinga's Azimio coalition won 22 of 47 counties in the presidential race. Kenya Kwanza won 25. But the real story...

Oct 25, 2022 3 min 4,525
Rejected Ballots in 2022: 246,000 Votes That Never Counted
Rejected Ballots in 2022: 246,000 Votes That Never Counted

In an election decided by 233,211 votes, the 246,232 rejected presidential ballots represent a democratic tragedy. Who w...

Oct 18, 2022 4 min 4,942
Rural vs Urban: How City Voters and Village Voters Split in 2022
Rural vs Urban: How City Voters and Village Voters Split in 2022

City voters and rural voters didn't just pick different candidates in 2022 — they showed up at dramatically different ra...

Oct 05, 2022 3 min 10,858