Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Filtering by: County Spotlight ×

Showing 37-48 of 117 posts

Kisii 2027 Readiness Brief 16: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Kisii 2027 Readiness Brief 16: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Kisii using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Mar 16, 2026 2 min 577
Kirinyaga 2027 Readiness Brief 15: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Kirinyaga 2027 Readiness Brief 15: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Kirinyaga using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, re...

Mar 15, 2026 2 min 9,583
2022 County Spotlight: Marsabit and Isiolo — The Surprising Northern Split
2022 County Spotlight: Marsabit and Isiolo — The Surprising Northern Split

Marsabit (Ruto 51.16%, margin 3,107 votes) and Isiolo (Ruto 54.77%) were among the most competitive counties in northern...

Mar 15, 2026 4 min 11,764
Kilifi 2027 Readiness Brief 14: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Kilifi 2027 Readiness Brief 14: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Kilifi using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...

Mar 14, 2026 2 min 9,944
Kiambu 2027 Readiness Brief 13: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Kiambu 2027 Readiness Brief 13: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Kiambu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...

Mar 13, 2026 2 min 5,347
Kericho 2027 Readiness Brief 12: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Kericho 2027 Readiness Brief 12: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Kericho using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Mar 12, 2026 2 min 3,162
2022 County Spotlight: Kitui and Tharaka-Nithi — The Eastern Divide
2022 County Spotlight: Kitui and Tharaka-Nithi — The Eastern Divide

Kitui (71.53% Odinga) and Tharaka-Nithi (89.79% Ruto) are neighbours that voted in completely opposite directions in 202...

Feb 28, 2026 4 min 7,208
2022 County Spotlight: Kericho and Bomet — The Kalenjin Heartland
2022 County Spotlight: Kericho and Bomet — The Kalenjin Heartland

Kericho (95.32% Ruto) and Bomet (95.27% Ruto) are the two most one-sided Ruto counties in Kenya. Together they delivered...

Feb 22, 2026 4 min 11,334
2022 County Spotlight: Garissa, Wajir, and Mandera — The Northeastern Bloc
2022 County Spotlight: Garissa, Wajir, and Mandera — The Northeastern Bloc

The three Northeastern counties — Garissa, Wajir, and Mandera — are often treated as a political bloc. But in 2022, they...

Feb 07, 2026 4 min 3,274
2022 County Spotlight: Turkana — High Stakes, Low Turnout in the North
2022 County Spotlight: Turkana — High Stakes, Low Turnout in the North

Turkana County combines extreme geography, limited infrastructure, and a politically engaged population into one of Keny...

Jan 15, 2026 4 min 7,538
WEST POKOT 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
WEST POKOT 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for WEST POKOT: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Oct 17, 2025 2 min 8,992
2022 County Spotlight: Bungoma — Where Ruto Outperformed Expectations
2022 County Spotlight: Bungoma — Where Ruto Outperformed Expectations

Bungoma County was supposed to be Azimio territory. Western Kenya had traditionally voted with Odinga. But William Ruto...

Oct 15, 2025 5 min 4,563