Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 109-117 of 117 posts

Kiambu's Quiet Rebellion: How Mt. Kenya's Biggest County Split Its Vote
Kiambu's Quiet Rebellion: How Mt. Kenya's Biggest County Split Its Vote

Kiambu, the largest county in Mt. Kenya with 1.3 million registered voters, was the site of the most dramatic split betw...

Nov 22, 2022 5 min 1,320
Nairobi 2022: How the Capital's 2.2 Million Voters Split Their Tickets
Nairobi 2022: How the Capital's 2.2 Million Voters Split Their Tickets

Kenya's capital is the only county where voters routinely split their tickets across parties. In 2022, Nairobi's 2.2 mil...

Oct 30, 2022 3 min 5,658
Bungoma and Kakamega: The Western Kenya Tug-of-War Between ANC and ODM
Bungoma and Kakamega: The Western Kenya Tug-of-War Between ANC and ODM

Bungoma and Kakamega — Western Kenya's two largest counties — split dramatically in 2022. Kakamega went 58% for Odinga w...

Oct 27, 2022 5 min 784
Nakuru 2022: The Swing County That Swung Hard for Kenya Kwanza
Nakuru 2022: The Swing County That Swung Hard for Kenya Kwanza

Nakuru County, Kenya's third-largest electorate with over 1.1 million registered voters, was considered the ultimate swi...

Oct 18, 2022 5 min 11,095
Kisumu's 98% Loyalty: Inside Kenya's Most Predictable Stronghold
Kisumu's 98% Loyalty: Inside Kenya's Most Predictable Stronghold

Kisumu gave Raila Odinga 97.5% of the presidential vote in 2022 — almost identical to 2017 and 2013. What drives this ex...

Oct 18, 2022 3 min 4,377
How UDA Swept the Rift Valley: A Ward-Level Analysis
How UDA Swept the Rift Valley: A Ward-Level Analysis

William Ruto's UDA party won every single gubernatorial race in the Rift Valley, swept parliamentary seats, and delivere...

Sep 28, 2022 4 min 9,766
Martha Karua Effect: Did She Move Votes in Central Kenya?
Martha Karua Effect: Did She Move Votes in Central Kenya?

When Raila Odinga picked Martha Karua as his running mate, it was hailed as a masterstroke. A respected Kikuyu woman fro...

Sep 20, 2022 4 min 7,839
Mombasa 2022: How Abdulswamad Nassir Reclaimed the Coast for ODM
Mombasa 2022: How Abdulswamad Nassir Reclaimed the Coast for ODM

After years of Joho's tenure and growing disillusionment, Mombasa's 2022 governor race saw Abdulswamad Nassir reclaim th...

Sep 14, 2022 4 min 7,971
How Raila Lost Mt. Kenya: The Azimio Coalition's Fatal Miscalculation
How Raila Lost Mt. Kenya: The Azimio Coalition's Fatal Miscalculation

The Azimio la Umoja coalition's entire strategy hinged on Mt. Kenya. With Uhuru's endorsement and Martha Karua as runnin...

Sep 12, 2022 4 min 1,490