Showing 121-132 of 413 posts
Kiambu Field Note 7: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Kiambu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...
2022 County Spotlight: Trans Nzoia — Where East Met West
Trans Nzoia gave Odinga 52.87% vs Ruto 46.61% — a margin of just 6.26 percentage points (15,664 votes). Sitting between...
Kericho Field Note 6: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Kericho using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
HOMA BAY: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Fastest Registration Growth)
Data-backed campaign playbook for HOMA BAY: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents...
Kakamega Field Note 5: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Kakamega using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...
Kajiado Field Note 4: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Kajiado using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
Diaspora mobilisation reality: Data Signals Campaign Teams Should Not Ignore Before 2027
A deeper demographic and operations brief on diaspora mobilisation reality with practical steps for 2027 election teams.
Isiolo Field Note 3: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Isiolo using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...
Homa Bay Field Note 2: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Homa Bay using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...
Garissa Field Note 1: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Garissa using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
MOMBASA: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Fastest Registration Growth)
Data-backed campaign playbook for MOMBASA: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents a...
2022 County Spotlight: Nandi and Baringo — Deep Rift Valley
Nandi (91.30% Ruto, 3rd highest nationally) and Baringo (80.69% Ruto) represent the deep Rift Valley vote. But the 11-po...