Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 121-132 of 207 posts

ELGEYO / MARAKWET 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
ELGEYO / MARAKWET 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for ELGEYO / MARAKWET: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign...

Feb 07, 2025 2 min 10,726
DIASPORA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
DIASPORA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for DIASPORA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...

Feb 01, 2025 2 min 6,415
Independent Candidates: 4,002 Ran in 2017, Only 125 Won
Independent Candidates: 4,002 Ran in 2017, Only 125 Won

In 2017, 4,002 candidates ran as independents across all six elective positions. Only 125 won — a success rate of just 3...

Jan 31, 2025 5 min 9,090
BUSIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
BUSIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for BUSIA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Jan 26, 2025 2 min 4,437
What Agents Must Do During Counting: A Practical Checklist
What Agents Must Do During Counting: A Practical Checklist

A practical 15-point checklist for party agents during vote counting at Kenyan polling stations: from verifying your app...

Jan 25, 2025 7 min 11,505
BUNGOMA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
BUNGOMA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for BUNGOMA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jan 20, 2025 2 min 1,932
Kibaki vs Raila: The Numbers Behind Kenya's Most Disputed Election
Kibaki vs Raila: The Numbers Behind Kenya's Most Disputed Election

A province-by-province breakdown of the 2007 presidential election reveals why the results remain Kenya's most disputed....

Jan 15, 2025 7 min 11,011
The MCA Landscape: 1,448 Wards, 41 Parties, and the Most Diverse Political Arena
The MCA Landscape: 1,448 Wards, 41 Parties, and the Most Diverse Political Arena

The 2017 MCA elections were the most politically diverse contest in Kenya. While 21 parties won National Assembly seats,...

Jan 15, 2025 5 min 8,210
BOMET 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
BOMET 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for BOMET: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Jan 14, 2025 2 min 5,091
Statutory Result Forms in Kenya: What Form 34A to 39A Capture and Why Agents Sign
Statutory Result Forms in Kenya: What Form 34A to 39A Capture and Why Agents Sign

A detailed guide to statutory result forms 34A through 39A used in Kenyan elections: what each form captures, why agents...

Jan 10, 2025 5 min 11,315
BARINGO 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
BARINGO 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for BARINGO: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jan 08, 2025 2 min 5,168
Party Dominance in Parliament: How Jubilee Won 140 of 289 MP Seats in 2017
Party Dominance in Parliament: How Jubilee Won 140 of 289 MP Seats in 2017

In 2017, Kenya's National Assembly was elected across 290 constituencies. Twenty-one different political parties won sea...

Jan 07, 2025 4 min 3,746