Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 61-72 of 117 posts

NYERI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NYERI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NYERI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Aug 12, 2025 2 min 8,640
NYANDARUA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NYANDARUA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NYANDARUA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams c...

Aug 06, 2025 2 min 4,506
NYAMIRA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NYAMIRA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NYAMIRA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jul 31, 2025 2 min 2,934
2022 County Spotlight: Kisumu and Homa Bay — Odinga’s Lakeside Fortress
2022 County Spotlight: Kisumu and Homa Bay — Odinga’s Lakeside Fortress

Kisumu (97.45% Odinga) and Homa Bay (98.93% Odinga) were the two most lopsided counties in the entire 2022 election. Wit...

Jul 31, 2025 4 min 7,668
NAROK 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NAROK 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NAROK: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Jul 25, 2025 2 min 4,295
2022 County Spotlight: Elgeyo/Marakwet — Ruto’s Home Turf at 96.86%
2022 County Spotlight: Elgeyo/Marakwet — Ruto’s Home Turf at 96.86%

Elgeyo/Marakwet County gave William Ruto 160,033 votes (96.86%) in 2022. The late Raila Odinga managed just 4,893 votes...

Jul 23, 2025 4 min 9,650
NANDI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NANDI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NANDI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Jul 19, 2025 2 min 11,245
2022 County Spotlight: Siaya — 98.60% for the late Raila, the Ultimate Stronghold
2022 County Spotlight: Siaya — 98.60% for the late Raila, the Ultimate Stronghold

Siaya County gave the late Raila Odinga 371,092 votes out of 376,354 valid votes — a staggering 98.60%. William Ruto rec...

Jul 15, 2025 5 min 4,932
NAKURU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NAKURU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NAKURU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jul 13, 2025 2 min 3,915
NAIROBI CITY 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NAIROBI CITY 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NAIROBI CITY: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign team...

Jul 07, 2025 2 min 6,395
MURANG'A 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MURANG'A 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MURANG'A: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...

Jul 01, 2025 2 min 1,102
MOMBASA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MOMBASA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MOMBASA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jun 25, 2025 2 min 5,365