Showing 337-348 of 555 posts
From ECK to IEBC: Institutional Lessons from 2007
A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...
2022 County Spotlight: Kisumu and Homa Bay — Odinga’s Lakeside Fortress
Kisumu (97.45% Odinga) and Homa Bay (98.93% Odinga) were the two most lopsided counties in the entire 2022 election. Wit...
NAROK 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
A practical county forecast for NAROK: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...
TURKANA Network Gap Brief: Polling Station Connectivity and 2027 Tally Risk
County-level connectivity risk brief for TURKANA: where transmission can fail and how campaign teams should prepare.
2022 County Spotlight: Elgeyo/Marakwet — Ruto’s Home Turf at 96.86%
Elgeyo/Marakwet County gave William Ruto 160,033 votes (96.86%) in 2022. The late Raila Odinga managed just 4,893 votes...
36 Petitions in 2007: The Forgotten Baseline
A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...
NANDI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
A practical county forecast for NANDI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 12)
A data-backed legal risk brief for Senator campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.
2022 County Spotlight: Siaya — 98.60% for the late Raila, the Ultimate Stronghold
Siaya County gave the late Raila Odinga 371,092 votes out of 376,354 valid votes — a staggering 98.60%. William Ruto rec...
NAKURU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
A practical county forecast for NAKURU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...
The Parliamentary-Presidential Mismatch in 2007
A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...
Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 11)
A data-backed legal risk brief for Governor campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.