Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 97-108 of 117 posts

GARISSA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
GARISSA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for GARISSA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Feb 19, 2025 2 min 8,730
EMBU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
EMBU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for EMBU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can pl...

Feb 13, 2025 2 min 7,784
ELGEYO / MARAKWET 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
ELGEYO / MARAKWET 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for ELGEYO / MARAKWET: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign...

Feb 07, 2025 2 min 10,728
DIASPORA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
DIASPORA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for DIASPORA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...

Feb 01, 2025 2 min 6,416
BUSIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
BUSIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for BUSIA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Jan 26, 2025 2 min 4,438
2022 County Spotlight: Nairobi — 2.42 Million Voters, 12,869 Rejected Ballots
2022 County Spotlight: Nairobi — 2.42 Million Voters, 12,869 Rejected Ballots

Nairobi County had 2,416,551 registered voters in 2022 — the largest electorate in Kenya. Odinga won it with 767,395 vot...

Jan 23, 2025 6 min 7,980
BUNGOMA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
BUNGOMA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for BUNGOMA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jan 20, 2025 2 min 1,933
BOMET 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
BOMET 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for BOMET: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Jan 14, 2025 2 min 5,092
BARINGO 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
BARINGO 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for BARINGO: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jan 08, 2025 2 min 5,170
Elgeyo Marakwet 2022: A County Study in Political Loyalty
Elgeyo Marakwet 2022: A County Study in Political Loyalty

With 93.7% for Ruto in the presidential race and UDA sweeping every seat, Elgeyo Marakwet is a case study in total polit...

Apr 03, 2023 3 min 5,791
Wajir, Garissa, and Mandera: The North Eastern Bloc in 2022
Wajir, Garissa, and Mandera: The North Eastern Bloc in 2022

Kenya's three North Eastern counties — Wajir, Garissa, and Mandera — have distinctive electoral dynamics: clan-based pol...

Feb 28, 2023 5 min 8,979
Nandi and Uasin Gishu: Inside UDA's Two Fortress Counties
Nandi and Uasin Gishu: Inside UDA's Two Fortress Counties

Nandi and Uasin Gishu are the twin engines of UDA's electoral machine. In 2022, they delivered a combined net margin of...

Dec 14, 2022 5 min 11,389