Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022
Showing 73-84 of 85 posts
A practical county forecast for BARINGO: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...
With 93.7% for Ruto in the presidential race and UDA sweeping every seat, Elgeyo Marakwet is a case study in total polit...
Kenya's three North Eastern counties — Wajir, Garissa, and Mandera — have distinctive electoral dynamics: clan-based pol...
Nandi and Uasin Gishu are the twin engines of UDA's electoral machine. In 2022, they delivered a combined net margin of...
Kiambu, the largest county in Mt. Kenya with 1.3 million registered voters, was the site of the most dramatic split betw...
Kenya's capital is the only county where voters routinely split their tickets across parties. In 2022, Nairobi's 2.2 mil...
Bungoma and Kakamega — Western Kenya's two largest counties — split dramatically in 2022. Kakamega went 58% for Odinga w...
Kisumu gave Raila Odinga 97.5% of the presidential vote in 2022 — almost identical to 2017 and 2013. What drives this ex...
Nakuru County, Kenya's third-largest electorate with over 1.1 million registered voters, was considered the ultimate swi...
William Ruto's UDA party won every single gubernatorial race in the Rift Valley, swept parliamentary seats, and delivere...
When Raila Odinga picked Martha Karua as his running mate, it was hailed as a masterstroke. A respected Kikuyu woman fro...
After years of Joho's tenure and growing disillusionment, Mombasa's 2022 governor race saw Abdulswamad Nassir reclaim th...