Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 73-84 of 207 posts

Member of the County Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 10)
Member of the County Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 10)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Member of the County Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention...

Jul 03, 2025 2 min 6,331
How 99 ODM Seats Changed Negotiation Power in 2008
How 99 ODM Seats Changed Negotiation Power in 2008

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jul 01, 2025 2 min 6,917
MURANG'A 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MURANG'A 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MURANG'A: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...

Jul 01, 2025 2 min 1,102
What Makes a Petition Succeed? Analyzing 2017's 35 Successful Challenges
What Makes a Petition Succeed? Analyzing 2017's 35 Successful Challenges

After the 2017 General Election, 446 election petitions were filed in Kenyan courts. Only 35 succeeded, a 7.8% success r...

Jun 30, 2025 5 min 3,372
Member of the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 9)
Member of the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 9)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Member of the National Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and preventio...

Jun 26, 2025 2 min 5,852
MOMBASA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MOMBASA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MOMBASA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jun 25, 2025 2 min 5,364
MIGORI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MIGORI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MIGORI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jun 19, 2025 2 min 4,205
County Women Member to the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 8)
County Women Member to the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 8)

A data-backed legal risk brief for County Women Member to the National Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate,...

Jun 19, 2025 2 min 11,876
MERU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MERU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MERU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can pl...

Jun 13, 2025 2 min 10,290
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 7)
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 7)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Senator campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

Jun 12, 2025 2 min 8,874
MARSABIT 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MARSABIT 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MARSABIT: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...

Jun 07, 2025 2 min 613
2022's Closest Races: Where a Few Hundred Votes Changed Everything
2022's Closest Races: Where a Few Hundred Votes Changed Everything

Kenya's 2022 election produced some of the tightest margins in the country's multiparty history. At the presidential lev...

Jun 07, 2025 6 min 6,714