Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 49-60 of 207 posts

BOMET: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Highest Turnout Counties)
BOMET: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for BOMET: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...

Oct 23, 2025 2 min 5,645
The Closest MP Race in 2013: Won by Just 24 Votes in Tarbaj
The Closest MP Race in 2013: Won by Just 24 Votes in Tarbaj

The 2013 general election produced some of Kenya's tightest parliamentary races in history. In Tarbaj constituency (Waji...

Oct 23, 2025 4 min 5,911
WEST POKOT 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
WEST POKOT 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for WEST POKOT: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Oct 17, 2025 2 min 8,992
WAJIR 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
WAJIR 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for WAJIR: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Oct 11, 2025 2 min 6,623
VIHIGA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
VIHIGA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for VIHIGA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Oct 05, 2025 2 min 4,239
UASIN GISHU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
UASIN GISHU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for UASIN GISHU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Sep 29, 2025 2 min 10,896
TURKANA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TURKANA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TURKANA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Sep 23, 2025 2 min 10,934
TRANS NZOIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TRANS NZOIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TRANS NZOIA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Sep 17, 2025 2 min 3,345
THARAKA-NITHI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
THARAKA-NITHI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for THARAKA-NITHI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign tea...

Sep 11, 2025 2 min 4,135
ANC, FORD-Kenya, and Wiper: Western and Eastern Kenya's Opposition in Numbers
ANC, FORD-Kenya, and Wiper: Western and Eastern Kenya's Opposition in Numbers

Within the NASA coalition, three parties carved out regional kingdoms. Wiper held the most seats overall with 108 across...

Sep 07, 2025 6 min 6,028
TANA RIVER 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TANA RIVER 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TANA RIVER: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Sep 05, 2025 2 min 8,763
TAITA TAVETA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TAITA TAVETA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TAITA TAVETA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign team...

Aug 30, 2025 2 min 7,962