Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Filtering by: swing-counties ×

Showing 1-4 of 4 posts

Garissa Field Note 1: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
Garissa Field Note 1: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game

A county-grounded brief for Garissa using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Jun 09, 2026 2 min 3,349
2022 County Spotlight: Marsabit and Isiolo — The Surprising Northern Split
2022 County Spotlight: Marsabit and Isiolo — The Surprising Northern Split

Marsabit (Ruto 51.16%, margin 3,107 votes) and Isiolo (Ruto 54.77%) were among the most competitive counties in northern...

Mar 15, 2026 4 min 11,854
The Political Map Before and After: Kenya's 2017 vs 2022 Results Compared
The Political Map Before and After: Kenya's 2017 vs 2022 Results Compared

Kenya's political map changed dramatically between 2017 and 2022. The Mt. Kenya region swung from Kenyatta to Ruto, the...

Oct 04, 2023 5 min 6,477
Rural vs Urban: How City Voters and Village Voters Split in 2022
Rural vs Urban: How City Voters and Village Voters Split in 2022

City voters and rural voters didn't just pick different candidates in 2022 — they showed up at dramatically different ra...

Oct 05, 2022 3 min 10,858