Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Filtering by: voter-turnout ×

Showing 49-60 of 136 posts

Kiambu 2027 Readiness Brief 13: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Kiambu 2027 Readiness Brief 13: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Kiambu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...

Mar 13, 2026 2 min 5,347
Kericho 2027 Readiness Brief 12: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Kericho 2027 Readiness Brief 12: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Kericho using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Mar 12, 2026 2 min 3,162
How Valid Votes Varied by Position in 2013: The Down-Ballot Drop-Off
How Valid Votes Varied by Position in 2013: The Down-Ballot Drop-Off

In 2013, Kenyans received six different ballots. The presidential ballot received 12,221,053 valid votes. But by the tim...

Feb 15, 2026 5 min 3,105
2022 County Spotlight: Garissa, Wajir, and Mandera — The Northeastern Bloc
2022 County Spotlight: Garissa, Wajir, and Mandera — The Northeastern Bloc

The three Northeastern counties — Garissa, Wajir, and Mandera — are often treated as a political bloc. But in 2022, they...

Feb 07, 2026 4 min 3,272
2022 County Spotlight: Turkana — High Stakes, Low Turnout in the North
2022 County Spotlight: Turkana — High Stakes, Low Turnout in the North

Turkana County combines extreme geography, limited infrastructure, and a politically engaged population into one of Keny...

Jan 15, 2026 4 min 7,537
SAMBURU: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)
SAMBURU: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for SAMBURU: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents a...

Dec 28, 2025 2 min 2,618
SIAYA: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Highest Turnout Counties)
SIAYA: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for SIAYA: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...

Dec 22, 2025 2 min 9,433
KISUMU: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Highest Turnout Counties)
KISUMU: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for KISUMU: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents an...

Dec 16, 2025 2 min 1,358
HOMA BAY: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Highest Turnout Counties)
HOMA BAY: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for HOMA BAY: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents...

Dec 10, 2025 2 min 1,561
MIGORI: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)
MIGORI: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for MIGORI: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents an...

Dec 04, 2025 2 min 11,541
NANDI: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Highest Turnout Counties)
NANDI: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for NANDI: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...

Nov 28, 2025 2 min 4,884
BARINGO: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Highest Turnout Counties)
BARINGO: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for BARINGO: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents a...

Nov 22, 2025 2 min 3,377