Showing 457-468 of 614 posts
KILIFI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
A practical county forecast for KILIFI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...
The Role of Parallel Vote Tallying in Ensuring Election Integrity
When the 2022 presidential election was decided by 233,211 votes across 46,229 polling stations, the difference between...
KIAMBU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
A practical county forecast for KIAMBU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...
The Agent Communication Hierarchy: How Election Results Flow from Station to Headquarters
Kenya's election agent communication hierarchy has four tiers: Polling Station Agent, Constituency Chief Agent, County C...
2022 County Spotlight: Kiambu — From Kenyatta Country to Ruto Territory
Kiambu County, home to the Kenyatta dynasty and Kenya’s second-largest electorate at 1.28 million voters, flipped from K...
KERICHO 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
A practical county forecast for KERICHO: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...
KAKAMEGA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
A practical county forecast for KAKAMEGA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...
Presidential Strongholds: Where 90%+ of Voters Chose One Candidate
Kenyan presidential elections are decided in a handful of swing counties. But the story starts in the strongholds, where...
The Orange Wave: How ODM Won 99 Parliamentary Seats in 2007
In the 2007 parliamentary elections, Raila Odinga's Orange Democratic Movement won 99 out of 210 seats — 47% of the Nati...
KAJIADO 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
A practical county forecast for KAJIADO: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...
County and National Tallying: The Final Steps to Declaring Kenya's Election Results
After constituency tallying, results flow upward to county and national levels. At the county level, Governor, Senator,...
Youth Candidates vs Youth Winners: The 9.2% Success Rate
In 2017, 3,428 youth candidates ran for elective office in Kenya. Only 314 won — a 9.2% success rate. But the gender bre...