Showing 25-36 of 229 posts
West Pokot Field Note 41: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for West Pokot using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, r...
TANA RIVER: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for TANA RIVER: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agent...
Wajir Field Note 40: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Wajir using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...
Vihiga Field Note 39: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Vihiga using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...
Uasin Gishu Field Note 38: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Uasin Gishu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...
Turkana Field Note 37: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Turkana using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
Trans Nzoia Field Note 36: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Trans Nzoia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...
ISIOLO: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for ISIOLO: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents an...
Tharaka-Nithi Field Note 35: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Tharaka-Nithi using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure...
Tana River Field Note 34: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Tana River using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, r...
Taita Taveta Field Note 33: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Taita Taveta using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...
Siaya Field Note 32: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Siaya using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...