Showing 25-36 of 39 posts
Deputy President Race 2022: How Rigathi Gachagua Was Chosen
Before Gachagua, there was Mathira MP speculation, Kiharu's Ndindi Nyoro, and a dozen other Mt. Kenya names. How did a r...
Nairobi 2022: How the Capital's 2.2 Million Voters Split Their Tickets
Kenya's capital is the only county where voters routinely split their tickets across parties. In 2022, Nairobi's 2.2 mil...
Azimio's Stronghold Paradox: Winning Counties but Losing the Election
Raila Odinga's Azimio coalition won 22 of 47 counties in the presidential race. Kenya Kwanza won 25. But the real story...
The Rift Valley Machine: How UDA Won 90%+ in 14 Counties
UDA swept the Rift Valley with staggering margins in 2022 — 14 counties above 90%, five above 95%. The Kalenjin heartlan...
Kisumu's 98% Loyalty: Inside Kenya's Most Predictable Stronghold
Kisumu gave Raila Odinga 97.5% of the presidential vote in 2022 — almost identical to 2017 and 2013. What drives this ex...
Rejected Ballots in 2022: 246,000 Votes That Never Counted
In an election decided by 233,211 votes, the 246,232 rejected presidential ballots represent a democratic tragedy. Who w...
Rural vs Urban: How City Voters and Village Voters Split in 2022
City voters and rural voters didn't just pick different candidates in 2022 — they showed up at dramatically different ra...
William Ruto's Hustler Narrative: How a Campaign Slogan Became a Movement
The 'hustler vs dynasty' framing was dismissed by pundits as populist nonsense. But Ruto's bottom-up economic model reso...
How UDA Swept the Rift Valley: A Ward-Level Analysis
William Ruto's UDA party won every single gubernatorial race in the Rift Valley, swept parliamentary seats, and delivere...
Presidential Results by Constituency: A Granular Look at 2022
Breaking down the 2022 presidential results across all 290 constituencies reveals patterns hidden in county-level data....
Martha Karua Effect: Did She Move Votes in Central Kenya?
When Raila Odinga picked Martha Karua as his running mate, it was hailed as a masterstroke. A respected Kikuyu woman fro...
How Kenya Kwanza Built a Winning Coalition: Lessons in Alliance Arithmetic
Kenya Kwanza brought together UDA, ANC, Ford-Kenya, and smaller parties into a coalition that covered every region and c...